NZ - Ascot Park - Race 7

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

BAKERS DOZEN (5) continued to improve her form this year, and she posted an overdue, but well-deserved maiden win at Riverton just over 2 weeks ago, when leading from a wide draw, and kicking away to score by over a length. This is not much harder, and she will take some pegging back again. EXPLODE (2) was an impressive maiden winner at Riccarton 2 starts back, before getting too far at his next start at Riverton over 6f. The extra 1f here will suit him, and he is worth another chance. WHO ROX THE HOUSE (4) was heavily backed at Riverton last start, but looked to be a run short with over a month between runs. She has the pole position, and with only a 15-day gap since her last start, she can bounce straight back into the money. WHAT ABOUT PEACE (10) was a big winner on debut on New Year's Day, and has since been tested in some far stronger fields. She cops a wide gate, but can't be taken lightly. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.3 len at Riverton April 4 over 7f on a soft track defeating Just Henri carrying 120lbs at $3.60. Before that 2nd of 13 at Riverton on March 8 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Ripa Time carrying 120lbs at $10.60. Expect another forward showing. 1st Pick 5 Bakers Dozen Jockey: Brett Murray Trainer: Kelly Shearing J: Brett Murray T: Kelly Shearing	150	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.3 len at Riverton April 4 over 7f on a soft track defeating Just Henri carrying 120lbs at $3.60. Before that 2nd of 13 at Riverton on March 8 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Ripa Time carrying 120lbs at $10.60. Expect another forward showing.
2	Last start 12th of 14 at Riverton on April 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 14 len behind Eastandwest with 129lbs at $7.20. The run before that won by 1.0 len at Riccarton Park March 4 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Lindy May with 129lbs at $2.80. Has ability and expected to do much better. 2nd Pick 2 Explode Jockey: Sima Mxothwa Trainer: Bruce Tapper J: Sima Mxothwa T: Bruce Tapper	90	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start 12th of 14 at Riverton on April 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 14 len behind Eastandwest with 129lbs at $7.20. The run before that won by 1.0 len at Riccarton Park March 4 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Lindy May with 129lbs at $2.80. Has ability and expected to do much better.
4	Most recently raced on the pace before fading 9th of 14 at Riverton on April 4 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Sacred Mist carrying 127lbs at $3.80. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 16 at Wingatui on February 28 over 1m, slow going 0.6 len behind The Ocean Heart carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Great chance to atone. 3rd Pick 4 Who Rox The House Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Ebony Turner J: Amber Riddell T: Ebony Turner	133	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently raced on the pace before fading 9th of 14 at Riverton on April 4 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Sacred Mist carrying 127lbs at $3.80. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 16 at Wingatui on February 28 over 1m, slow going 0.6 len behind The Ocean Heart carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Great chance to atone.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.