NZ - Ascot Park - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

11f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

DANIELLISH (7) has been running on in all of her last 3 starts over a mile, and she probably should have finished closer last time out when getting to the outside of runners far too late. She is strong enough now to cope with a middle distance, and in a modest field, she is the one to beat for us. EIVAN (2) was a bold runner-up in his penultimate start over 1m, and then needed his last run when nearly a month between races. The extra 3f is ideal, and with only a fortnight gap since his most recent outing, he can bounce straight back into the money here. STROBE LIGHT (1) made the most of a change of tactics when setting the pace and holding on for his best effort yet when finishing second over 1m at Riverton nearly 2 weeks ago. Each way claims again. SUSPECT OR VICTIM (6) was in need of her last start at Ashburton, and she will be a lot sharper this time. Include in all top 4 combos. POLLY'S GURU (5) will be peaking third up from a spell over a more suitable distance. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Last start 4th of 11 at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Great Adventure carrying 125lbs at $19.50. The start before that eased back early on 6th of 11 at Wingatui on March 27 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Global Jewel carrying 125lbs at $10.80. Tough to beat if near her best. 1st Pick 7 Daniellish Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Maurice Forde J: Amber Riddell T: Maurice Forde	62	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start 4th of 11 at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Great Adventure carrying 125lbs at $19.50. The start before that eased back early on 6th of 11 at Wingatui on March 27 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Global Jewel carrying 125lbs at $10.80. Tough to beat if near her best.
2	At the latest run 9th of 11 at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, slow going 16 len behind Great Adventure with 127lbs at $8.40. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Riverton on March 8 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Sparky with 127lbs at $12.20. Rates highly in this company and gets his chance to break through. 2nd Pick 2 Eivan Jockey: Akshay Balloo Trainer: Sally Mckay J: Akshay Balloo T: Sally Mckay	66	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At the latest run 9th of 11 at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, slow going 16 len behind Great Adventure with 127lbs at $8.40. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Riverton on March 8 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Sparky with 127lbs at $12.20. Rates highly in this company and gets his chance to break through.
1	Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Great Adventure carrying 129lbs at $16.50. The run before that 8th of 11 at Wingatui on March 27 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Global Jewel carrying 129lbs at $40.40. Looks well placed to break the ice. 3rd Pick 1 Strobe Light Jockey: Brett Murray Trainer: Amber Hoffman J: Brett Murray T: Amber Hoffman	70	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Great Adventure carrying 129lbs at $16.50. The run before that 8th of 11 at Wingatui on March 27 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Global Jewel carrying 129lbs at $40.40. Looks well placed to break the ice.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.