NZ - Arawa - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.8f

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.6K

VIEW

Verdict

SACRED ZED (3) ripped home when finishing second in this company at Woodville 12 days ago over a similar trip. He is likely to get back here as well, but if he can circle into it before the final turn, then he can have the last say this time. BELLEZOR (8) has had no luck with 3 wide gates in as many starts this prep, and she drops down a class for this. A superior draw, if the inside is playing fair, will help her, and a form reversal would come as no surprise to us. RIO GRANDE (6) has been building his fitness, and he ran his best race this prep last time out when dropping down to this grade for the first time. He has form on the course and can figure in the top 3 this time. DID THE TRICK (1) set the pace and fought on gamely for sixth last start, and he has had a jumping trial since then. Don't risk him at this level. Each way value. RAAJOICES (2) has won 3 races, and they have all been on this track in heavy ground. If he doesn't need the run, then he can give this a shake.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	At the latest run 2nd of 13 at Woodville on June 19 over 1m, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Don's Legacy carrying 126lbs at $9. Before that 5th of 9 at Wanganui on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 6 len behind Air Dancer with 148lbs at $1.50. Expected to go close with repeat of latest. 1st Pick 3 Sacred Zed Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Hayley Hassman T: Kevin Myers	165	-	-	-	42%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 13 at Woodville on June 19 over 1m, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Don's Legacy carrying 126lbs at $9. Before that 5th of 9 at Wanganui on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 6 len behind Air Dancer with 148lbs at $1.50. Expected to go close with repeat of latest.
8	At the latest run 11th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Arwen carrying 125lbs at $30.90. Before that 6th of 14 at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Chester Boy carrying 126lbs at $14.60. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 8 Bellezor Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Paul Richards J: Sam Mcnab T: Paul Richards	128	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run 11th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Arwen carrying 125lbs at $30.90. Before that 6th of 14 at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Chester Boy carrying 126lbs at $14.60. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat.
6	Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 5th of 12 at Woodville on June 19 over 1m, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Craftsman with 131lbs at $3.80. The start before that 7th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 8 len behind Free Bird carrying 127lbs at $36.10. Making headway. Well placed and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 6 Rio Grande Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: George Rooke T: Andrew Forsman	111	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 5th of 12 at Woodville on June 19 over 1m, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Craftsman with 131lbs at $3.80. The start before that 7th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 8 len behind Free Bird carrying 127lbs at $36.10. Making headway. Well placed and can improve sharply.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.