NZ - Arawa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

7.8f

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

10.3K

VIEW

Verdict

ROC UP RALPH (2) was a very good close third fresh up. He has been placed before when second up. Course placed. Drawn well in this plus a 9lbs helps his case. BALLISTIC MISS (5) was a shocker at last start when beaten out of sight. She had run well prior. Left-handed seems to suit this filly more and she can feature here. TAKEACHANCE (7) is drawn the ace here. He has run well in three of his last four starts. Trifecta and first four chance. OVERRATED (6) has been course placed before. Class dropper here. He can pay a dividend or be first four in this field. DID THE TRICK (1) is much better than he is showing of late. Give him one more chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	First-up after eight months ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Matamata on June 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.6 len behind Because with 125lbs at $39. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 4th of 8 at Te Aroha on June 27 2024 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Billy Boy with 151lbs at $5.90. Ran a good close third fresh up. Has been placed when second up. Well drawn. A 9lbs claim helps no end too. 1st Pick 2 Roc Up Ralph Jockey: Yuga Okubo Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Yuga Okubo T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	60	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis First-up after eight months ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Matamata on June 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.6 len behind Because with 125lbs at $39. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 4th of 8 at Te Aroha on June 27 2024 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Billy Boy with 151lbs at $5.90. Ran a good close third fresh up. Has been placed when second up. Well drawn. A 9lbs claim helps no end too.
5	At the latest run ran last of 14 at Pukekohe on June 25 over 1m, on rain affected going, 51 len behind Bassoroc with 125lbs at $11.30. Before that 6th of 17 at Ellerslie on June 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind El Arish with 125lbs at $8.40. Very poor run at last start. Had not run a bad race prior for many starts in a row. Left-handed suits more. 2nd Pick 5 Ballistic Miss Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: George Rooke T: Stephen Marsh	92	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 14 at Pukekohe on June 25 over 1m, on rain affected going, 51 len behind Bassoroc with 125lbs at $11.30. Before that 6th of 17 at Ellerslie on June 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind El Arish with 125lbs at $8.40. Very poor run at last start. Had not run a bad race prior for many starts in a row. Left-handed suits more.
7	At the latest run 4th of 14 at Tauranga on June 21 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Kai Moana with 120lbs at $21.10. The start before that 6th of 14 at Te Rapa on May 31 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Monday Melody carrying 112lbs at $10.20. Has run well enough in three of last four starts. Ace draw. Trifecta and first four chance. 3rd Pick 7 Takeachance Jockey: Lynsey Satherley Trainer: Tracy Lomas J: Lynsey Satherley T: Tracy Lomas	61	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 14 at Tauranga on June 21 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Kai Moana with 120lbs at $21.10. The start before that 6th of 14 at Te Rapa on May 31 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Monday Melody carrying 112lbs at $10.20. Has run well enough in three of last four starts. Ace draw. Trifecta and first four chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.