NZ - Arawa - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.6K

VIEW

Verdict

SNEAKY CYCLONE (4) is working his way toward an overdue maiden win, and his third at Te Aroha 10 days ago as the favourite was solid enough for a race like this. He handles the mud here, and surely he goes close to winning here. CHAPPY (1) is another promising gelding who will pick up a win at short notice, and after his close-up second as the favourite at Matamata 17 days ago, today could be that day. Follow your money. KENWOOD HOUSE (2) had to work a touch too hard to find the front from a wide gate at Cambridge on the poly track last time out, and failed to finish his run off, finishing well back. He has been placed twice from 3 starts here, and he can bounce straight back into form, especially from a superior draw. SALTBURN (3) has been having no luck with his barrier draws, but his form has still been near enough. Include in all top 4 combos. CLASSIC GRACE (13) got back too far from a wide draw at Matamata last start, and she can make amends from a better gate here. Each way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Form hard to fault. Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.4 len behind Sugar Daddy carrying 129lbs at $3.10. The race before that 4th of 12 at Te Aroha on June 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Brewster carrying 127lbs at $12.70. Expected in the finish. 1st Pick 4 Sneaky Cyclone Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Daniel Miller J: Michael Mcnab T: Daniel Miller	87	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.4 len behind Sugar Daddy carrying 129lbs at $3.10. The race before that 4th of 12 at Te Aroha on June 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Brewster carrying 127lbs at $12.70. Expected in the finish.
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Matamata on June 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Dare To Proisir carrying 127lbs at $2.70. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Te Aroha on June 1 over 7f, slow going head behind Brewster carrying 127lbs at $4.10. Sure to be about the money again. 2nd Pick 1 Chappy Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Craig Grylls T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	131	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Matamata on June 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Dare To Proisir carrying 127lbs at $2.70. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Te Aroha on June 1 over 7f, slow going head behind Brewster carrying 127lbs at $4.10. Sure to be about the money again.
2	Most recently struggled in the run home, 8th of 12 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 17 over 7 ¾f, 8 len behind Fortune Asia carrying 125lbs at $5.50. The start before that 3rd of 11 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 3 over 7 ¾f, 2.25 len behind In Your Dreams carrying 129lbs at $5.80. Likely to feature. 3rd Pick 2 Kenwood House Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Jack Taplin T: Stephen Marsh	99	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Most recently struggled in the run home, 8th of 12 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 17 over 7 ¾f, 8 len behind Fortune Asia carrying 125lbs at $5.50. The start before that 3rd of 11 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 3 over 7 ¾f, 2.25 len behind In Your Dreams carrying 129lbs at $5.80. Likely to feature.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.