NZ - Arawa - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.6K

VIEW

Verdict

GIN AND BARE IT (1) has finished runner-up in each of her 2 starts to date, following on from an easy trial win at Avondale prior to her debut. A good draw should help early on in the day, and she is ready to break through. IMPRESSIVE BELLE (3) was worked up prior to the start of her last race, and was above herself in condition for her fresh up that day. She strips fitter, and is good enough to figure in the top 3. MISS PARKER (2) was very disappointing last time out after a solid effort for fourth when resuming at Ellerslie before that. She is worth another chance, so stick with her. WHATZ DONE IS DONE (5) was not bad fresh up from a wide gate at Te Rapa just over 5 weeks ago. She has a superior gate this time and should be a quick improver. TOSS (7) raced greenly on debut after winning a trial prior to that very easily. She will be better for the experience, and she is worth including in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Having third race start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at Matamata on May 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Electric Angel carrying 116lbs at $9.80. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Lumbridge Castle with 118lbs at $6. No surprise to see her take this out. 1st Pick 1 Gin And Bare It Jockey: Joe Nishizuka Trainer: Kylie Fawcett J: Joe Nishizuka T: Kylie Fawcett	145	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at Matamata on May 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Electric Angel carrying 116lbs at $9.80. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Lumbridge Castle with 118lbs at $6. No surprise to see her take this out.
3	Second-up. First-up after nearly two years ran second last of 10 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 17 over 4f, 9 len behind Smashing Sister carrying 125lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up 4th of 13 at Matamata on May 8 2024 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Sweetpea carrying 127lbs at $20.10. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Impressive Belle Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale J: Samantha Collett T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale	87	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nearly two years ran second last of 10 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 17 over 4f, 9 len behind Smashing Sister carrying 125lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up 4th of 13 at Matamata on May 8 2024 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Sweetpea carrying 127lbs at $20.10. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat.
2	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up made ground from midfield, 4th of 15 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Roc De Night Away with 125lbs at $7.40. Second-up ran second last of 13 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 7f, slow going 10 len behind Pure Lotus with 125lbs at $5.20. Can improve. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 2 Miss Parker Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Kylie Hoskin J: Tom Wigram T: Kylie Hoskin	166	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up made ground from midfield, 4th of 15 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Roc De Night Away with 125lbs at $7.40. Second-up ran second last of 13 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 7f, slow going 10 len behind Pure Lotus with 125lbs at $5.20. Can improve. Capable of sharp improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.