NZ - Arawa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.1f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

10.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LITTERAL (10) she is a winner in waiting after a last-start second. This does look hers to lose. MY FAITH (1) ran a good third up. He had won a trial prior. Drawn slightly better. BLACKPINK JENNIE (11) showed leader speed fresh up but weakened. She had run second in a trial prior. Is a place or first four chance here. JELLY ROLL (2) ran a moderate fourth on debut at Matamata over 6f. He is a logical improver here. Better drawn this time and he gets a full 9lbs claim in this as well. SWEETAZME (7) ran a fair debut then spelled to strengthen up further. Drawn out here but is still a chance at longer odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic on May 21 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Shiatsu with 125lbs at $3.60. Second run from a spell 2nd of 11 at Matamata on June 15 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Elle McFab carrying 125lbs at $4.90. Maiden winner in waiting. This looks her to lose. 1st Pick 10 Litteral Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Ken & Bev Kelso	199	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic on May 21 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Shiatsu with 125lbs at $3.60. Second run from a spell 2nd of 11 at Matamata on June 15 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Elle McFab carrying 125lbs at $4.90. Maiden winner in waiting. This looks her to lose.
1	First-up after five months 3rd of 11 at Matamata on June 15 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Out Of Sight with 120lbs at $15.70. Previously second-up 10th of 13 at Matamata on December 20 over 7f, 6 len behind Cognoscenti with 126lbs at $59. Much improved fresh up run after leading. Won a trial prior. Quinella and trifecta must. 2nd Pick 1 My Faith Jockey: Gareth Lahoud Trainer: Stephen Ralph J: Gareth Lahoud T: Stephen Ralph	70	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis First-up after five months 3rd of 11 at Matamata on June 15 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Out Of Sight with 120lbs at $15.70. Previously second-up 10th of 13 at Matamata on December 20 over 7f, 6 len behind Cognoscenti with 126lbs at $59. Much improved fresh up run after leading. Won a trial prior. Quinella and trifecta must.
11	Dual acceptor. First-up after six months 9th of 14 at Tauranga on June 21 over 6f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Accentuate carrying 116lbs at $31.30. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at this track on December 28 over 7f, 7 len behind Summerston carrying 120lbs at $15.20. Led and weakened fresh up. Was a trial second prior. Place and first four hope. 3rd Pick 11 Blackpink Jennie Jockey: Elle Sole Trainer: Carl Henderson J: Elle Sole T: Carl Henderson	82	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. First-up after six months 9th of 14 at Tauranga on June 21 over 6f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Accentuate carrying 116lbs at $31.30. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at this track on December 28 over 7f, 7 len behind Summerston carrying 120lbs at $15.20. Led and weakened fresh up. Was a trial second prior. Place and first four hope.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.