GB - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

26 Runners

Group 1

Turf

Good to Firm (Good in places)

963.0K

VIEW

Verdict

A gelding operation has seen NIGHT RAIDER start to fulfil his immense early promise, supplementing his Newmarket win despite a slow start forcing a change of tactics in the Temple Stakes and he could be the answer. Australian representatives have enjoyed plenty of success over the years and Overpass (providing he copes with a bare 5f) has the form to be a major factor, while the re-application of headgear will also surely see the classy Asfoora in a much better light.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Always promised to be a Group 1 performer and gelding operation prior to reappearance has made a big difference, dominating the Group 3 Palace House Stakes and he overcame a tardy start when beating several of these in the Temple Stakes at Haydock. Mid-field last year but much better expected here. 1st Pick 8 Night Raider (Ire) Jockey: James Doyle Trainer: K. R. Burke J: James Doyle T: K. R. Burke	98	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Always promised to be a Group 1 performer and gelding operation prior to reappearance has made a big difference, dominating the Group 3 Palace House Stakes and he overcame a tardy start when beating several of these in the Temple Stakes at Haydock. Mid-field last year but much better expected here.
9	Hasn't tasted success since the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes in 2024 but he's run some fine races in defeat, notably when fourth in last season's Everest behind Ka Ying Rising. Bold showing when fourth of 9 in T. J. Smith Stakes at Randwick (6f) and he's a very smart Australian sprinter. 2nd Pick 9 Overpass (Aus) Jockey: Joshua Parr Trainer: Bjorn Baker, Australia J: Joshua Parr T: Bjorn Baker, Australia	100	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Hasn't tasted success since the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes in 2024 but he's run some fine races in defeat, notably when fourth in last season's Everest behind Ka Ying Rising. Bold showing when fourth of 9 in T. J. Smith Stakes at Randwick (6f) and he's a very smart Australian sprinter.
13	One of the top sprinters around on her day, fifth in this fitted with blinkers before landing Group 1s at York (Nunthorpe) and Longchamp (Prix de l'Abbaye) last year. Low-key start to 2026 but always a chance the returning headgear (and tongue tie) and firmer ground will see her in a better light. 3rd Pick 13 Asfoora (Aus) Jockey: Oisin Murphy Trainer: Henry Dwyer J: Oisin Murphy T: Henry Dwyer	98	-	-	-	8%
Analysis One of the top sprinters around on her day, fifth in this fitted with blinkers before landing Group 1s at York (Nunthorpe) and Longchamp (Prix de l'Abbaye) last year. Low-key start to 2026 but always a chance the returning headgear (and tongue tie) and firmer ground will see her in a better light.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.