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Resulted

GB - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
12f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Firm
116.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This is wide open so it could pay to side with Richard Hannon's low-mileage STEM who got back to winning ways at Sandown last time and remains handily weighted on his first go over this distance. Both Insanity (second choice) and Night Breeze are past winners of this and seem sure to be on the premises again, while Castle Stuart is another with plenty to recommend him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Stem (Ire) silk

Low-mileage 4-y-o who gained a first win since his debut in 9-runner handicap at Sandown (1¼m, good to firm) last month. Up 2 lb but weighted to go well again on his first try at this trip.

1st Pick
10

Stem (Ire)

Jockey: Jamie Melham

Trainer: Richard Hannon

J: Jamie Melham

T: Richard Hannon

100---17%

Analysis

Low-mileage 4-y-o who gained a first win since his debut in 9-runner handicap at Sandown (1¼m, good to firm) last month. Up 2 lb but weighted to go well again on his first try at this trip.

2
Insanity silk

Resumed with a good second at Pontefract (1¼m, good) in April but turned in a below-par thirteenth of 17 in Duke Of Edinburgh at the Royal meeting over C&D last time. Took this in 2024 and also third last year so he's a likely player again freshened up after a break.

2nd Pick
2

Insanity

Jockey: Marie Velon

Trainer: Alan King

J: Marie Velon

T: Alan King

99---9%

Analysis

Resumed with a good second at Pontefract (1¼m, good) in April but turned in a below-par thirteenth of 17 in Duke Of Edinburgh at the Royal meeting over C&D last time. Took this in 2024 and also third last year so he's a likely player again freshened up after a break.

4
Night Breeze (Ire) silk

Won twice over C&D (including this contest) in 2025. Has continued on the up, scoring at Epsom in April and good placed efforts in competitive handicaps since, third of 17 at Goodwood (1¼m, good to firm) 11 days ago. Very much one to consider again.

3rd Pick
4

Night Breeze (Ire)

Jockey: D. B. Mcmonagle

Trainer: Ian Williams

J: D. B. Mcmonagle

T: Ian Williams

97---39%

Analysis

Won twice over C&D (including this contest) in 2025. Has continued on the up, scoring at Epsom in April and good placed efforts in competitive handicaps since, third of 17 at Goodwood (1¼m, good to firm) 11 days ago. Very much one to consider again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.