AU - Muswellbrook - Race 7

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

6.4f

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 6

18.1K

VIEW

Verdict

CRIMSON WINGS (10) improving filly with the upside to win this third-up. Strong through the line with the 127lbs when a tidy second over 6f at Gosford. Gets map favours and should prove too strong for these. TULIPWOOD (14) come here with a fitness edge over the bulk of these fifth-up. Just over three weeks between runs when she failed to pick them up finishing fourth over 6 ½f at Canberra. Has further upside and will race closer from the low gate. Each-way contender. MYALABY (11) is undefeated in two starts on her home track and she gets a better setup for this. No match for the smart Duvana when seventh over 6 ¼f at Beaumont (Newcastle). Sure to be thereabouts. HALO PHENOMENA (7) bounced off his good first-up third with a decisive victory in fast time over 6 ½f at Bathurst. On the up and not to be underrated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by 2 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) F&M Mdn December 13 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Had It All carrying 127lbs at $1.90. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 on December 31 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Siebert with 127lbs at $3. Rates highly and set to peak from the low gate. 1st Pick 10 Crimson Wings Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Christian Reith T: Richard & Will Freedman	175	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by 2 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) F&M Mdn December 13 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Had It All carrying 127lbs at $1.90. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 on December 31 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Siebert with 127lbs at $3. Rates highly and set to peak from the low gate.
14	At the latest run 4th of 7 at Canberra Cl2 on December 28 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind November Air carrying 126lbs at $6.50. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 12 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm64 on December 5 over 7f, 7 len behind Virgil's Gift carrying 128lbs at $20. Deep into the prep and looks the main danger. 2nd Pick 14 Tulipwood Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Ashley Morgan T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	153	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 7 at Canberra Cl2 on December 28 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind November Air carrying 126lbs at $6.50. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 12 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm64 on December 5 over 7f, 7 len behind Virgil's Gift carrying 128lbs at $20. Deep into the prep and looks the main danger.
11	Comes off a 31 day let-up. Most recently got back early 7th of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm64 on December 13 over 6 ¼f, 9 len behind Duvana with 122lbs at $31. Before that 6th of 11 at Wyong Bm64 on November 26 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Rathoran with 123lbs at $15. Undefeated on her home track and capable of returning to form. 3rd Pick 11 Myalaby Jockey: Reece Jones Trainer: Tim Mcintosh J: Reece Jones T: Tim Mcintosh	103	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Comes off a 31 day let-up. Most recently got back early 7th of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm64 on December 13 over 6 ¼f, 9 len behind Duvana with 122lbs at $31. Before that 6th of 11 at Wyong Bm64 on November 26 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Rathoran with 123lbs at $15. Undefeated on her home track and capable of returning to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.