AU - Muswellbrook - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

BOSSY SHEILA (4) takes on a race without much exposed form. She comes out of a Wellington maiden which was very decent. Was not beaten far in that and so just needs to find some nice improvement to be right in this finish. VAGUELY RED (3) will be tough to hold out though. Is bred to be wanting every bit of this journey. Has to be hitting the line hard after covering no ground. NEAREST (1) was adequate when going first up at Scone. He will be improved again by that but might even need more ground. MORPETH (9) is much better at this distance range. He gets a tongue tie on now. THIRTY DEGREES (12) runs similar races every time. He will sit on the pace and battle away late. Others are better though.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Was well in the market at debut, made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Wellington on September 15 over 5 ½f, slow going neck behind Tampa Bay carrying 119lbs at $4.20. Sure to play a major role. 1st Pick 4 Bossy Sheila Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Rodney Northam J: Grant Buckley T: Rodney Northam	109	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Was well in the market at debut, made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Wellington on September 15 over 5 ½f, slow going neck behind Tampa Bay carrying 119lbs at $4.20. Sure to play a major role.
3	Three-year-old gelding by leading sire Maurice out of Villa Rosa who was bought for AUD $ 170,000 (Magic Millions 2025 Gold Coast Yearling Sale). He has four recent trials leading in today's debut. Was runner-up in a trial at Muswellbrook on October 21 over 5f. Expected to measure up. 2nd Pick 3 Vaguely Red Jockey: Nick Palmer Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich J: Nick Palmer T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich	108	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Three-year-old gelding by leading sire Maurice out of Villa Rosa who was bought for AUD $ 170,000 (Magic Millions 2025 Gold Coast Yearling Sale). He has four recent trials leading in today's debut. Was runner-up in a trial at Muswellbrook on October 21 over 5f. Expected to measure up.
1	Second-up. First-up after six months 4th of 11 in a Super Mdn at Scone on October 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind The Autumn Wind carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 4th of 10 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on May 1 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Pepperina with 130lbs at $2.50. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 1 Nearest Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich J: Christian Reith T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich	182	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 4th of 11 in a Super Mdn at Scone on October 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind The Autumn Wind carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 4th of 10 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on May 1 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Pepperina with 130lbs at $2.50. Plenty of improvement to come.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.