AU - Muswellbrook - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

4.5f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 6

18.1K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPITAL DANCER (2) strong mare plagued by the wet tracks last preparation. Goes well fresh and her lone victory came over this trip. Returns with the one good trial and gets the right setup from the gate. Hard to stop. DER BLAUE REITER (7) registered his first win on resumption with a slick on-pace victory over 4 ½f at Albury on December 13. Since scored a 4 ½f trial win at Canberra. Serious contender again with the high confidence. BRUMMAGEN (5) placed at this track and trip and is worth another chance with Stiff's 7lbs claim. Complete mystery after he failed to close off when ninth over 5f at Dubbo. Assess on his good earlier efforts. ZOUKING (4) returned from a lengthy break with a dominant on-pace win over 5f at Kempsey with the 130lbs. Has the figures to tackle this tougher contest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Wellington Bm58 July 29 over 4 ½f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Keadool carrying 134lbs at $11. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.3 len Newcastle 3yo+ Mdn-Hcp March 1 over 4 ½f defeating Rodeo Dealer with 130lbs at $2.45. Everything points to a bright return from the good gate. 1st Pick 2 Capital Dancer Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Gregory Mcfarlane J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Gregory Mcfarlane	103	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Wellington Bm58 July 29 over 4 ½f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Keadool carrying 134lbs at $11. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.3 len Newcastle 3yo+ Mdn-Hcp March 1 over 4 ½f defeating Rodeo Dealer with 130lbs at $2.45. Everything points to a bright return from the good gate.
7	Second-up. First-up after six months won by 3 len at Albury Mdn-Sw December 13 over 4 ½f defeating Lord Of Valor carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at Wagga Super Mdn on May 1 over 5f, 4 len behind Master Patrick carrying 128lbs at $5. Sure to go well again. Fitter and can measure up again after the good trial win. 2nd Pick 7 Der Blaue Reiter Jockey: Robyn Freeman Trainer: Wayne Hudd J: Robyn Freeman T: Wayne Hudd	118	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months won by 3 len at Albury Mdn-Sw December 13 over 4 ½f defeating Lord Of Valor carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at Wagga Super Mdn on May 1 over 5f, 4 len behind Master Patrick carrying 128lbs at $5. Sure to go well again. Fitter and can measure up again after the good trial win.
5	Most recently 9th of 12 at Dubbo Bm58 on December 20 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Press Forward with 127lbs at $3.80. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Dubbo Ctry Bm58 on December 8 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Keadool carrying 127lbs at $3.50. Best form stacks up and can bounce back with the claim. 3rd Pick 5 Brummagen Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Brett Thompson J: Jacob Stiff T: Brett Thompson	122	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Most recently 9th of 12 at Dubbo Bm58 on December 20 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Press Forward with 127lbs at $3.80. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Dubbo Ctry Bm58 on December 8 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Keadool carrying 127lbs at $3.50. Best form stacks up and can bounce back with the claim.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.