AU - Muswellbrook - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

4.5f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

LIGHTHOUSE LASS (6) has excellent metro form herself. In fact, she won a Saturday race at Rosehill. Only thing would be will she be giving away too much start over the 4 ½f? SARATOGA POWER (2) is resuming from a spell and absolutely flies at this course. That will hold him in good stead, just whether he is up to this. Each-way. SPECK (4) scored over 4 ¾f at Moree two back then missed the frame last time out over 5f at Taree. Usually thereabouts and worth including in all wider plays. SHIHAB (1) is resuming following a winning trial, looks a fair chance in this suitable race. ARCTIC LEGEND (5) finished fourth over 7 ½f at Eagle Farm two months ago. In the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Dual acceptor. Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second last of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm72 January 7 over 5f, 2 len behind Tai Lung carrying 126lbs at $2.05. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 3.5 len win. Canberra Cl2-Sw November 23 over 5f slow track defeating Our Little Star carrying 121lbs at $2.25. Everything points to a bright return. 1st Pick 7 Runranirun Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Non Runner T: Matthew Smith	99	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second last of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm72 January 7 over 5f, 2 len behind Tai Lung carrying 126lbs at $2.05. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 3.5 len win. Canberra Cl2-Sw November 23 over 5f slow track defeating Our Little Star carrying 121lbs at $2.25. Everything points to a bright return.
6	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign by nose Rosehill 3yo Bm72 June 27 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Benevac with 115lbs at $16. When resuming last campaign second of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 February 5 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Mercy Me with 129lbs at $2.50. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting she will pick up where she left off. 2nd Pick 6 Lighthouse Lass Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Andrew Gibbons T: Richard & Will Freedman	74	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign by nose Rosehill 3yo Bm72 June 27 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Benevac with 115lbs at $16. When resuming last campaign second of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 February 5 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Mercy Me with 129lbs at $2.50. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting she will pick up where she left off.
2	Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 10 at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr June 14 over 5f, soft track, 9 len behind My Mum's Toyboy carrying 133lbs at $13. First up last campaign fourth of 11 at this track Skel Prel March 8 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Durova with 136lbs at $10. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign. 3rd Pick 2 Saratoga Power Jockey: Nick Palmer Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Nick Palmer T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	153	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 10 at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr June 14 over 5f, soft track, 9 len behind My Mum's Toyboy carrying 133lbs at $13. First up last campaign fourth of 11 at this track Skel Prel March 8 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Durova with 136lbs at $10. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.