AU - Muswellbrook - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

20.9K

VIEW

Verdict

READY AND LUCKY (1) has admittedly let punters down in her two runs back but was only beaten a lip last time and should be peaking now. Already boasts a win at this track and trip and gets the important claim again. Can go one better. ROSE WATER (9) returns after showing good signs last prep without winning, though there were plenty of subsequent winners around her. Readied with solid hit-outs and gets Morgan back on from a good draw. Think she gives this a big shake. SIRAGUSA (3) made a mess of his rivals on debut at Tamworth in January, then was immediately tipped out. Just the one soft trial off a short break. Suspect he will be right there but hard to get too excited at the short quote. AKAUWHEO (10) also deserves respect after a strong win at Gunnedah.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up second last of 7 at Wyong Bm64 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Sneaky Sofia carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on March 10 over 6 ¼f, slow going nose behind Battledance with 132lbs at $2.05. Peaking now and is ready to win. 1st Pick 1 Ready And Lucky Jockey: Deon Le Roux Trainer: Lou Mary J: Deon Le Roux T: Lou Mary	168	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up second last of 7 at Wyong Bm64 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Sneaky Sofia carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on March 10 over 6 ¼f, slow going nose behind Battledance with 132lbs at $2.05. Peaking now and is ready to win.
9	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Gosford Cl1-Sw November 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Santatime with 126lbs at $4.60. When resuming last campaign second of 10 at Port Macquarie F&M Bm58 October 11 over 6f, 1.75 len behind All Too Rosey carrying 131lbs at $3. Looks well placed for a bright return. 2nd Pick 9 Rose Water Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Jason Deamer J: Ashley Morgan T: Jason Deamer	102	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Gosford Cl1-Sw November 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Santatime with 126lbs at $4.60. When resuming last campaign second of 10 at Port Macquarie F&M Bm58 October 11 over 6f, 1.75 len behind All Too Rosey carrying 131lbs at $3. Looks well placed for a bright return.
3	Resumes from a spell after only one run when favourite, won by 3 len at Tamworth Super Mdn-Sw January 22 over 6f defeating Our Boy Tom carrying 128lbs at $1.80. Impressed at first start last time, well placed to play a major role again. 3rd Pick 3 Siragusa Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Tom Sherry T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	98	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Resumes from a spell after only one run when favourite, won by 3 len at Tamworth Super Mdn-Sw January 22 over 6f defeating Our Boy Tom carrying 128lbs at $1.80. Impressed at first start last time, well placed to play a major role again.

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