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Resulted

AU - Muswellbrook - Race 2

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7.2f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 6
21.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

COSTA DEL SOL (1) does look the one simply based on the promise shown at his first outing. He sat just off them a fortnight back and ran on by. It was expected going off the betting however you still have to see it and he did it well. MAGURTZ (2) has found one better at each of his last three efforts. He will be fitter, draws better and so can take up a decent position in transit. SUTTON STORM (3) was solid enough in a very similar race two weeks ago. Not going to find this any easier but does race with consistency. ARCHAIC FORCE (5) has a poor strike rate but is never ever far away. Bounced back to form with a second place run at Mudgee after a less-than-encouraging seventh at Port Macquarie two back. Further improvement can see him in the finish.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Costa Del Sol silk

Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.75 len in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on October 19 over 6f defeating Post Mark carrying 130lbs at $1.14. Improvement to come and shapes as a leading chance again.

1st Pick
1

Costa Del Sol

Jockey: Heavelon Van Der Hoven

Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

J: Heavelon Van Der Hoven

T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

191---80%

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.75 len in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on October 19 over 6f defeating Post Mark carrying 130lbs at $1.14. Improvement to come and shapes as a leading chance again.

2
Magurtz silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd in a small field in a Cl1 at Scone on October 23 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Rolling Home carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 14 in a Cl1 at Gunnedah on May 24 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Portofino carrying 128lbs at $10. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
2

Magurtz

Jockey: Christian Reith

Trainer: Scott Singleton

J: Christian Reith

T: Scott Singleton

148---20%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd in a small field in a Cl1 at Scone on October 23 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Rolling Home carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 14 in a Cl1 at Gunnedah on May 24 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Portofino carrying 128lbs at $10. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

3
Sutton Storm silk

Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at this track on October 19 over 7 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Crime Of Passion carrying 130lbs at $3.60. The race before that 2nd of 8 in a Bm58 at Dubbo on October 2 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Mrs Bull with 131lbs at $4.60. Finds a nice race and can add to the strong recent record.

3rd Pick
3

Sutton Storm

Jockey: Grant Buckley

Trainer: Rodney Northam

J: Grant Buckley

T: Rodney Northam

135---15%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at this track on October 19 over 7 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Crime Of Passion carrying 130lbs at $3.60. The race before that 2nd of 8 in a Bm58 at Dubbo on October 2 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Mrs Bull with 131lbs at $4.60. Finds a nice race and can add to the strong recent record.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.