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Resulted

AU - Muswellbrook - Race 1

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
18.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SOSUEME (7) capable on her day and drops in grade and trip third-up. Solid return at Scone, then failed to get into the contest when a plugging sixth over 5 ½f at Gosford. Appeals today and no excuses in this weaker contest. DIFENSIVO (4) had mixed luck in his four career starts and finds a much easier race. Sat on the fast tempo when a battling third over 5 ½f at Gosford. Placed over this track and trip three-back and looks the main danger. SILENT SERENADE (11) has shown ability placing in all her three starts at Tamworth over this trip. Will go back from the gate and strips fitter second-up. MOKE LAKE (1) returns after 11 months in the paddock without a trial. Stretched out in trip when a battling fourth over 7 ¼f at Quirindi last February. Leading rider booked and must be kept safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Sosueme silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Scone Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Too Darn Finesse carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Gosford F&M Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Mercy Me with 128lbs at $16. Capable of sharp improvement in this easier race.

1st Pick
7

Sosueme

Jockey: Lee Magorrian

Trainer: Nathan Doyle

J: Lee Magorrian

T: Nathan Doyle

185---19%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Scone Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Too Darn Finesse carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Gosford F&M Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Mercy Me with 128lbs at $16. Capable of sharp improvement in this easier race.

4
Difensivo silk

Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me with 127lbs at $8.50. Before that 4th in a small field at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Mdn on December 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Monopolistic carrying 128lbs at $7.50. On-pacer who will take catching this time.

2nd Pick
4

Difensivo

Jockey: Mitchell Bell

Trainer: Nacim Dilmi

J: Mitchell Bell

T: Nacim Dilmi

156---42%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me with 127lbs at $8.50. Before that 4th in a small field at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Mdn on December 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Monopolistic carrying 128lbs at $7.50. On-pacer who will take catching this time.

11
Silent Serenade silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 at Tamworth Mdn on December 22 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 126lbs at $7. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Tamworth Mdn-Sw on August 29 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Bullion Hunter carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Progressing well and can get off the mark.

3rd Pick
11

Silent Serenade

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Tim Mcintosh

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Tim Mcintosh

140---12%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 at Tamworth Mdn on December 22 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 126lbs at $7. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Tamworth Mdn-Sw on August 29 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Bullion Hunter carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Progressing well and can get off the mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.