AU - Mt Isa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

OPEN

Sand

GOOD

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SHE SMASHES (6) finished just under two lengths away from the winner last time at Alpha and drops in the weights. Has a high cruising speed and best figures should see her run well. LAST DITCH EFFORT (8) turned in a decent effort last start to finish third over 6f at this track. Finds a tougher race but a win is not out of the question. MAGICAL SLIPPER (2) was an impressive winner last time over 6f at Roma, stalking the pace before lengthening nicely to score by 5 lengths. In form and worth including in calculations. OCTOBER REVOLUTION (4) is a last-start winner who draws the inside marble. Don't dismiss lightly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of ten weeks. Finished off last preparation when last of 12 at Eagle Farm Bm70 May 2 over 6f, on heavy track, 10 len behind Mercurial Lady carrying 123lbs at $21. Previously first up, second of 9 at Sunshine Coast Hcp October 24 over 5f, a nose behind En Pointe with 119lbs at $6. Looks very hard to beat. 1st Pick 5 Amore Veloce Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Tanya Parry J: Non Runner T: Tanya Parry	201	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of ten weeks. Finished off last preparation when last of 12 at Eagle Farm Bm70 May 2 over 6f, on heavy track, 10 len behind Mercurial Lady carrying 123lbs at $21. Previously first up, second of 9 at Sunshine Coast Hcp October 24 over 5f, a nose behind En Pointe with 119lbs at $6. Looks very hard to beat.
6	Last start 4th of 7 at Alpha Cl6-Sw on June 27 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Peninsula with 128lbs at $3. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Longreach Hcp on June 6 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Entrepreneurial with 123lbs at $6.50. Better than recent form suggests and is one of the better hopes in the race. 2nd Pick 6 She Smashes Jockey: Mitch Goring Trainer: Bevan Johnson J: Mitch Goring T: Bevan Johnson	130	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Last start 4th of 7 at Alpha Cl6-Sw on June 27 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Peninsula with 128lbs at $3. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Longreach Hcp on June 6 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Entrepreneurial with 123lbs at $6.50. Better than recent form suggests and is one of the better hopes in the race.
8	At the latest run 3rd in a small field at this track Sw on June 27 over 6f, 2.5 len behind October Revolution carrying 138lbs at $5. The race before that ran last in a small field at this track Bm70 on May 23 over 5f, 11 len behind Ferrari Girl with 130lbs at $3. Can improve again. Well placed to take this out. 3rd Pick 8 Last Ditch Effort Jockey: Brooke Stower Trainer: Tanya Parry J: Brooke Stower T: Tanya Parry	123	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run 3rd in a small field at this track Sw on June 27 over 6f, 2.5 len behind October Revolution carrying 138lbs at $5. The race before that ran last in a small field at this track Bm70 on May 23 over 5f, 11 len behind Ferrari Girl with 130lbs at $3. Can improve again. Well placed to take this out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.