AU - Moree - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

21.6K

VIEW

Verdict

NIELSEN PARK (3) was in the money two starts back at Forbes but couldn't back it up last time at Gunnedah when sent out favourite. Best figures measure up nicely, so willing to forgive. PUISSANCE POWER (4) went fast early over 7f at Tamworth last time and defied all challengers to score. Will be up on the speed from the low draw and will take running down again. FABS CUZ (2) will appreciate the longer journey after finishing a solid fifth when resuming last start over 7f at Tamworth. Is sure to have come on with that run under his belt and will appreciate stretching to the mile second-up. Bold showing anticipated. WHITTAKER (7) finds it hard to win with just the one career success which came quite a while back. Last start was fifth over 7f at Dalby on August 11. Top three hope.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Most recently 8th of 12 in a Cl1-Sw at Gunnedah on August 14 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Risk Assessment with 130lbs at $2.80. The start before that 3rd of 10 in a Cl1 at Forbes on August 2 over 7f, 1.0 len behind The Confidante with 127lbs at $10. Worth another chance. 1st Pick 3 Nielsen Park Jockey: Ashley Butler Trainer: Mack Griffith J: Ashley Butler T: Mack Griffith	162	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently 8th of 12 in a Cl1-Sw at Gunnedah on August 14 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Risk Assessment with 130lbs at $2.80. The start before that 3rd of 10 in a Cl1 at Forbes on August 2 over 7f, 1.0 len behind The Confidante with 127lbs at $10. Worth another chance.
4	Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at Tamworth on August 25 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Shakespeare's Girl carrying 130lbs at $3.50. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 in a Cg&E Mdn at Bathurst on August 17 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.3 len behind Fawlty Affairs carrying 122lbs at $2.60. Shapes as a top chance again. 2nd Pick 4 Puissance Power Jockey: Diego Montes De Oca Trainer: Michael Mulholland J: Diego Montes De Oca T: Michael Mulholland	146	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at Tamworth on August 25 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Shakespeare's Girl carrying 130lbs at $3.50. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 in a Cg&E Mdn at Bathurst on August 17 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.3 len behind Fawlty Affairs carrying 122lbs at $2.60. Shapes as a top chance again.
6	Third-up today. First-up sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 in a Cl1 at Bathurst on August 17 over 6f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Demmo Dermy carrying 123lbs at $19. Second-up 3rd of 10 in a Cl1 at Tamworth on August 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Always A Rainbow carrying 123lbs at $7. Not far away last time. Can measure up with the right run. 3rd Pick 6 Sammaan City Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Michael Mulholland J: Non Runner T: Michael Mulholland	119	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 in a Cl1 at Bathurst on August 17 over 6f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Demmo Dermy carrying 123lbs at $19. Second-up 3rd of 10 in a Cl1 at Tamworth on August 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Always A Rainbow carrying 123lbs at $7. Not far away last time. Can measure up with the right run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.