AU - Mackay - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

6.5f

Quality Handicap

Turf

SOFT 5

52.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Wide open race and pressure on from the outset. RED HOT LIZZIE (13) drew off the track and got home late in town two back then just missed last time at Rockhampton. Going well and can go one better. OUTBACK ACTION (14) is hard to fault winning back-to-back races. Hit the line hard to score here last time and looks tough to stop again. YES DREAM (2) is going well over the sharper trips but has performed well this journey before. Veteran drawn for a good run and should be in the thick of it. PARADE GROUND (9) deserves a win but will need some luck early from wide out. LIBERTY STEPS (8) is better than form suggests and will be winding up late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	At the latest run 2nd of 14 at Rockhampton Qlty on July 9 over 6 ½f, neck behind Demon Award carrying 115lbs at $101. The run before that 6th of 16 at Eagle Farm Botb Final on June 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Roll Up carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Just missed latest and can go one better. 1st Pick 13 Red Hot Lizzie Jockey: Christopher Mciver Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Christopher Mciver T: Lachie Manzelmann	106	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 14 at Rockhampton Qlty on July 9 over 6 ½f, neck behind Demon Award carrying 115lbs at $101. The run before that 6th of 16 at Eagle Farm Botb Final on June 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Roll Up carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Just missed latest and can go one better.
14	Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track Hcp July 2 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Parade Ground with 123lbs at $6. The run before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a long-neck at this track Hcp June 23 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Lean Eagle carrying 119lbs at $11. Racing well and looks a key chance. 2nd Pick 14 Outback Action Jockey: Ron Stewart Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Ron Stewart T: Lachie Manzelmann	88	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track Hcp July 2 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Parade Ground with 123lbs at $6. The run before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a long-neck at this track Hcp June 23 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Lean Eagle carrying 119lbs at $11. Racing well and looks a key chance.
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by 1.0 len at Innisfail Sw June 20 over 4 ½f in the wet defeating Speed Legend carrying 136lbs at $2.70. Last start 3rd of 7 at Townsville Hcp on June 28 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Russian Mint with 144lbs at $11. Veteran in form and draw for a good run. 3rd Pick 2 Yes Dream Jockey: Lacey Morrison Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe J: Lacey Morrison T: Trevor & Peter Rowe	102	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by 1.0 len at Innisfail Sw June 20 over 4 ½f in the wet defeating Speed Legend carrying 136lbs at $2.70. Last start 3rd of 7 at Townsville Hcp on June 28 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Russian Mint with 144lbs at $11. Veteran in form and draw for a good run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.