AU - Mackay - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SUPID DATE (7) turned in an eye-catching run over 7f at Townsville last time, ridden back before coming home with a powerful run to finish third. The winkers come off now. Rates strongly and expected to go close. THE DEFENDER (2) got off the mark when resuming from a spell over 6f at Emerald last start, scoring by 5 lengths. Nicely placed to double the win tally. MASALI RAFFA (4) finished third last start over 6f at Dingo, beaten 0.8 lengths. This looks a sterner test than last time but on his best form he is capable of testing his rivals and looks one at odds. HEROIC TALENT (3) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 7 ¾f at this track, beaten 7 lengths into ninth. Raul Silvera Olivera gets the best out of this four-year-old gelding. Well placed to turn things around.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Most recently 3rd of 7 in a 3&4yo Hcp at Townsville on August 18 over 7f, 5 len behind Faraway Downs carrying 121lbs at $3.30. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 in a Tvlle Guineas at Townsville on August 8 over 1m, 6 len behind Illegal Justice with 117lbs at $41. Sean Cormack has a good association with this four-year-old mare and is back aboard. Goes on top. 1st Pick 7 Supid Date Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Joshua Manzelmann J: Sean Cormack T: Joshua Manzelmann	152	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 7 in a 3&4yo Hcp at Townsville on August 18 over 7f, 5 len behind Faraway Downs carrying 121lbs at $3.30. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 in a Tvlle Guineas at Townsville on August 8 over 1m, 6 len behind Illegal Justice with 117lbs at $41. Sean Cormack has a good association with this four-year-old mare and is back aboard. Goes on top.
2	Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 5 len at Emerald on August 17 over 6f defeating Coronation Day with 131lbs at $1.65. Previously second-up 7th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Kyneton on October 9 over 5 ½f, 13 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 131lbs at $21. Back in fine order and should be right in the mix. 2nd Pick 2 The Defender Jockey: Christopher Mciver Trainer: Jamie Mcconachy J: Christopher Mciver T: Jamie Mcconachy	125	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 5 len at Emerald on August 17 over 6f defeating Coronation Day with 131lbs at $1.65. Previously second-up 7th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Kyneton on October 9 over 5 ½f, 13 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 131lbs at $21. Back in fine order and should be right in the mix.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming won by a nose at Yeppoon on August 1 over 6f defeating Whiskey Glasses with 131lbs at $4.60. Second-up 3rd of 8 in a Bm50 at Dingo on August 22 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Speed King with 134lbs at $4.20. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 4 Masali Raffa Jockey: Tasha Chambers Trainer: Julieann Lancaster J: Tasha Chambers T: Julieann Lancaster	102	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming won by a nose at Yeppoon on August 1 over 6f defeating Whiskey Glasses with 131lbs at $4.60. Second-up 3rd of 8 in a Bm50 at Dingo on August 22 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Speed King with 134lbs at $4.20. Will take plenty of beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.