AU - Mackay - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.8f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SETTAT (9) made it two wins on the bounce last time out when he scored by a nose over 1m at Sunshine Coast. Winning rider Nikki Olzard retains the mount. Finds the right race this time and can get the job done again. UPSTART LEGEND (4) had been in sound form but last start she was safely held when tenth over 7f at Cairns. Adam Sewell has a strong winning record aboard the six-year-old mare so she can improve sharply. RED HOT LIZZIE (1) has good form and wound up strongly to score last time out over 7f at Cairns. Expected to relish the extra ground and looks one of the chief contenders. THE DRILLER (6) rounds out the selections.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Chasing a hat-trick. Last start won by a nose at Sunshine Coast on August 9 over 1m defeating Rock Hard Love carrying 118lbs at $14. The start before that won by a nose at Rockhampton on July 21 over 1m defeating General Wolffe carrying 120lbs at $5. Rates highly and expected to measure up. 1st Pick 9 Settat Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Maree Skillington J: Nikki Olzard T: Maree Skillington	128	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last start won by a nose at Sunshine Coast on August 9 over 1m defeating Rock Hard Love carrying 118lbs at $14. The start before that won by a nose at Rockhampton on July 21 over 1m defeating General Wolffe carrying 120lbs at $5. Rates highly and expected to measure up.
4	Last start 10th of 14 in a Newmarket Qlty at Cairns on August 28 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Red Hot Lizzie carrying 115lbs at $81. The race before that won by 0.6 len at Bowen on August 15 over 6f defeating Colleano with 123lbs at $6. Big chance to bounce straight back. 2nd Pick 4 Upstart Legend Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Adam Sewell T: Lachie Manzelmann	135	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start 10th of 14 in a Newmarket Qlty at Cairns on August 28 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Red Hot Lizzie carrying 115lbs at $81. The race before that won by 0.6 len at Bowen on August 15 over 6f defeating Colleano with 123lbs at $6. Big chance to bounce straight back.
1	Last start won by 0.7 len at Cairns on August 28 over 7f defeating Odegaard carrying 120lbs at $11. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 in a Hcp at Townsville on August 18 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Outback Action with 133lbs at $3. Certain to be hard to beat again. 3rd Pick 1 Red Hot Lizzie Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Ryan Wiggins T: Lachie Manzelmann	145	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Last start won by 0.7 len at Cairns on August 28 over 7f defeating Odegaard carrying 120lbs at $11. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 in a Hcp at Townsville on August 18 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Outback Action with 133lbs at $3. Certain to be hard to beat again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.