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Resulted

AU - Mackay - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Class 2
Turf
GOOD 4
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TARA I AM (5) showed good pace and went on to score by a neck when resuming last time out over 5 ½f at Rockhampton. Well placed and there is no reason why she cannot salute. EMILIA JANE (1) pushed forward from a wide draw last time out and was prominent for a long way before fading to finish ninth over 7f at Townsville. Well placed and expected to feature. ADRANOS (2) has switched yards since finishing ninth two weeks ago over 6 ¾f at Ipswich. This is easier and rates among the leading chances. SHIPPING LANE (4) returns from a spell of nine months and is having his first run for a new yard. Finished fourth at Doomben over 6f when first-up last time in work. Will be fit enough for this following a recent trial win and can run a race while fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Tara I Am silk

Second run back. First-up after five months won by a neck at Rockhampton on August 13 over 5 ½f defeating Doubtwilly carrying 122lbs at $6. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a Cl3-Sw at Emerald on January 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Mississippi Morn with 121lbs at $3.60. Can go right on with it here.

1st Pick
5

Tara I Am

Jockey: Raul Silvera Olivera

Trainer: Stephen Rundle

J: Raul Silvera Olivera

T: Stephen Rundle

174---34%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months won by a neck at Rockhampton on August 13 over 5 ½f defeating Doubtwilly carrying 122lbs at $6. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a Cl3-Sw at Emerald on January 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Mississippi Morn with 121lbs at $3.60. Can go right on with it here.

1
Emilia Jane silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by a nose at this track on July 17 over 6f defeating Moochi Starlight carrying 131lbs at $3.70. Second-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 16 in a F&M Bm70 at Townsville on August 8 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bianca Mia carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Capable of a better showing. Willing to forgive the last run, can atone.

2nd Pick
1

Emilia Jane

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Alisha Taylor

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Alisha Taylor

173---19%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by a nose at this track on July 17 over 6f defeating Moochi Starlight carrying 131lbs at $3.70. Second-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 16 in a F&M Bm70 at Townsville on August 8 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bianca Mia carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Capable of a better showing. Willing to forgive the last run, can atone.

2
Adranos silk

At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 in a Cg&E Cl1 at Ipswich on August 19 over 6 ¾f, 5.5 len behind Rochedale Hero with 129lbs at $12. The start before that came from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Cl1 at Sunshine Coast on August 9 over 7f, 2.5 len behind El Centro with 129lbs at $5. Capable of sharp improvement.

3rd Pick
2

Adranos

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Ricky Vale

J: Aidan Holt

T: Ricky Vale

210---36%

Analysis

At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 in a Cg&E Cl1 at Ipswich on August 19 over 6 ¾f, 5.5 len behind Rochedale Hero with 129lbs at $12. The start before that came from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Cl1 at Sunshine Coast on August 9 over 7f, 2.5 len behind El Centro with 129lbs at $5. Capable of sharp improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.