AU - Mackay - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.5f

Class 6

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

LUCKY LASS (7) is poised to win after placing at her last four outings, most recently when third over 6f at this track. Looks well placed so expect another big run. The well-related CONTEMPORARY (1) (half to G3 winner and G1 placed Commemorative) finished second at Emerald two runs back but was less effective last time over 7f at Cairns, finishing back in seventh. Tackling a more suitable race this time so he is a major player. THE EXTREME CAT (2) is on a five-day back-up after finishing in the money over 6 ¼f at Cairns. Strong run last time and should be in the finish. REGAL JUDGEMENT (4) gets 3lbs off with the claim and should be included in calculations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	At the latest run 3rd of 9 in a Bm70 at this track on August 20 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Our Missile with 128lbs at $8.50. The run before that 2nd of 8 in a Belle F&M Bm70 at this track on July 25 over 7 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Black Eyed Blonde carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Well placed. Rates highly and is sure to play a major role. 1st Pick 7 Lucky Lass Jockey: Nathan Thomas Trainer: Rebecca Binder J: Nathan Thomas T: Rebecca Binder	149	-	-	-	46%
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 9 in a Bm70 at this track on August 20 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Our Missile with 128lbs at $8.50. The run before that 2nd of 8 in a Belle F&M Bm70 at this track on July 25 over 7 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Black Eyed Blonde carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Well placed. Rates highly and is sure to play a major role.
1	Half-brother to Group 3 winner and Group 1 placed Commemorative. Most recently 7th of 14 in a Newmarket Qlty at Cairns on August 28 over 7f, 4 len behind Red Hot Lizzie with 125lbs at $20. The start before that 2nd of 8 in a Cl6-Sw at Emerald on August 17 over 5f, 3 len behind Woodstock Rock carrying 134lbs at $4.20. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game. 2nd Pick 1 Contemporary Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Adam Sewell T: Lachie Manzelmann	224	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Half-brother to Group 3 winner and Group 1 placed Commemorative. Most recently 7th of 14 in a Newmarket Qlty at Cairns on August 28 over 7f, 4 len behind Red Hot Lizzie with 125lbs at $20. The start before that 2nd of 8 in a Cl6-Sw at Emerald on August 17 over 5f, 3 len behind Woodstock Rock carrying 134lbs at $4.20. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game.
2	Last start 3rd of 9 in a Cl6-Sw at Cairns on August 29 over 6 ¼f, 1.1 len behind Miss Moneypenny carrying 132lbs at $12. Before that eased back early on 7th of 9 in a Bm70 at this track on August 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Our Missile with 136lbs at $12. Big chance to return to the winner's list. 3rd Pick 2 The Extreme Cat Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Aidan Holt T: Lachie Manzelmann	172	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 9 in a Cl6-Sw at Cairns on August 29 over 6 ¼f, 1.1 len behind Miss Moneypenny carrying 132lbs at $12. Before that eased back early on 7th of 9 in a Bm70 at this track on August 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Our Missile with 136lbs at $12. Big chance to return to the winner's list.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.