AU - Mackay - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.5f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Most of the chances run on so might come down to who has the best dash. MIND OVER MATTER (1) is the benchmark having won the last four runs. Leading rider sticks and although creeping up in the weights will be winding up strongly again. LUCKY LASS (2) was a winner here two back then placed last time here in 3yo open class. Great record at home and drawn to run well. THE KOBAY TRAIN (5) is coming off a strong placing in the far richer Northern Jewel, which has also proven a top form race already. Rarely far away over this course and distance and is not to be underestimated. ASPEN COWBOY (3) drops in weight and is a solid top-three hope.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today. First-up won by 3.5 len at this track 3yo Mdn June 11 over 5 ½f defeating Aye Vee Aitch with 129lbs at $3.40. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton 3yo Hcp on July 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Neverenoughlego carrying 115lbs at $7. Has further upside and looks hard to hold out. 1st Pick 7 Bonewood Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Tom F Smith J: Non Runner T: Tom F Smith	179	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by 3.5 len at this track 3yo Mdn June 11 over 5 ½f defeating Aye Vee Aitch with 129lbs at $3.40. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton 3yo Hcp on July 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Neverenoughlego carrying 115lbs at $7. Has further upside and looks hard to hold out.
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 2.25 len at Townsville 3yo Hcp June 16 over 5f defeating Gold Classic carrying 132lbs at $1.30. Second-up favourite, won by a nose at Townsville 3yo Hcp July 5 over 6f defeating Betterlucknexttime with 136lbs at $1.70. Creeping up in the weights but hard to fault and looks a top chance again. 2nd Pick 1 Mind Over Matter Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Terry Mcgovern J: Sean Cormack T: Terry Mcgovern	200	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 2.25 len at Townsville 3yo Hcp June 16 over 5f defeating Gold Classic carrying 132lbs at $1.30. Second-up favourite, won by a nose at Townsville 3yo Hcp July 5 over 6f defeating Betterlucknexttime with 136lbs at $1.70. Creeping up in the weights but hard to fault and looks a top chance again.
2	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at this track 3yo Hcp on June 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.4 len behind Exodas carrying 131lbs at $5. The race before that won by a neck at this track Bm65 June 11 over 5 ½f defeating Upstart Legend carrying 126lbs at $9. Local with a great record at home and drawn to feature. 3rd Pick 2 Lucky Lass Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon Trainer: Rebecca Binder J: Tahlia Fenlon T: Rebecca Binder	158	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at this track 3yo Hcp on June 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.4 len behind Exodas carrying 131lbs at $5. The race before that won by a neck at this track Bm65 June 11 over 5 ½f defeating Upstart Legend carrying 126lbs at $9. Local with a great record at home and drawn to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.