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7:40 AM

AU - Leeton - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.2f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POSTWAR (1) lightly raced gelding heading in the right direction. Gave his all with the 136lbs when a gritty on-speed fourth over 5f at Wangaratta on the heavy (9) track on July 31. Since fitted with a 4 ½f trial win. Genuine contender from the good gate. REDS CITY (4) handy mare who looks to get a better set-up for this. Went back from the wide gate and like the way she attacked the line with a close-up second over 5f at Wagga. Hard to stop in this vein of form. JUSTBETRYIN' (6) is deep into the prep and due for a change of luck in this weaker race. Bumped into the smart Spirits Burn Deep when fourth over 5 ?f in a BM66 at Gundagai. Can get cover from the draw and take a hand in the finish. SWIFT HIT (5) has raced below par at his last three outings and gets another chance in this weaker race. Kept up to the mark with a 4 ½f trial placing and maps well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Postwar silk

Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Returns from a 53-day let-up. At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on July 31 over 5f, on a wet track, head behind Bronco Revolution carrying 136lbs at $9.50. The run before that 4th of 10 in a Bm58 at Wagga on July 20 over 5f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Brial Rose carrying 131lbs at $2.80. Improving gelding since fitted with a 4 ½f trial win, go close.

1st Pick
1

Postwar

Jockey: Brodie Loy

Trainer: Daniel Mccarthy

J: Brodie Loy

T: Daniel Mccarthy

128---35%15/8

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Returns from a 53-day let-up. At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on July 31 over 5f, on a wet track, head behind Bronco Revolution carrying 136lbs at $9.50. The run before that 4th of 10 in a Bm58 at Wagga on July 20 over 5f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Brial Rose carrying 131lbs at $2.80. Improving gelding since fitted with a 4 ½f trial win, go close.

9
Martha Lavinia silk

Racing second-up today. Last run ran last of 8 in a Cl2 at Canberra on September 4 over 6f, slow going 12 len behind Cholante carrying 123lbs at $151. At only start last preparation ran last of 11 in a Bm50 at Wagga Riverside on May 25 2024 over 5f, 13 len behind Hi Poppy with 121lbs at $26. Prefer in something easier.

2nd Pick
9

Martha Lavinia

Jockey: Michael Heagney

Trainer: Fiona Schneiders

J: Michael Heagney

T: Fiona Schneiders

60---1%125/1

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Last run ran last of 8 in a Cl2 at Canberra on September 4 over 6f, slow going 12 len behind Cholante carrying 123lbs at $151. At only start last preparation ran last of 11 in a Bm50 at Wagga Riverside on May 25 2024 over 5f, 13 len behind Hi Poppy with 121lbs at $26. Prefer in something easier.

4
Reds City silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 in a Ctry Bm58 at Wagga on August 27 over 5f, in the wet, nose behind She's The Key carrying 123lbs at $4.40. The run before that won by 1.4 len in a Bm50 at Narrandera on August 15 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Time Angel with 129lbs at $7. In career best form and worth following up.

3rd Pick
4

Reds City

Jockey: Ella Bent

Trainer: Anthony Craig

J: Ella Bent

T: Anthony Craig

114---15%6/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 in a Ctry Bm58 at Wagga on August 27 over 5f, in the wet, nose behind She's The Key carrying 123lbs at $4.40. The run before that won by 1.4 len in a Bm50 at Narrandera on August 15 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Time Angel with 129lbs at $7. In career best form and worth following up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.