AU - Leeton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

5.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

STRUGGLE STREET (7) talented mare who was on the wrong part of the track with a fading fifth over 6f at Wagga on the heavy (10) track. Assess on her dominant win two back at Moe. Will take catching. MASTER OF DISGUISE (3) improver third up after she went out hard before finishing sixth over 6f at Wyong in a decent race. Gets in light with the claim and has genuine prospects. ZETHUS (2) tough old gelding kept fresh for this. Went back from the wide gate and failed to get into the contest when twelfth over 6f at Seymour on August 7. Since fitted with a trial placing over 4 ½f at Wangaratta. Improver. PRETTY PENGUIN (6) seven-year-old mare who may have needed the run last start when resuming at Bendigo over 5f. In the mix on best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 8 in a Ian Reid Bm85 at Wagga on August 27 over 6f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Gooloo Bucky carrying 121lbs at $11. Before that won by a long-neck in a Bm62 at Moe on July 21 over 6f in the wet defeating Russian Front carrying 125lbs at $4.60. One of the chief contenders set to bounce back. 1st Pick 7 Struggle Street Jockey: Samantha Noble Trainer: Steven Noble J: Samantha Noble T: Steven Noble	98	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 8 in a Ian Reid Bm85 at Wagga on August 27 over 6f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Gooloo Bucky carrying 121lbs at $11. Before that won by a long-neck in a Bm62 at Moe on July 21 over 6f in the wet defeating Russian Front carrying 125lbs at $4.60. One of the chief contenders set to bounce back.
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 10 in a Open Bm84 at Canberra Acton on August 21 over 6f, 6 len behind Who But Roo with 118lbs at $7.50. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in a Cond Bm68 at Wyong on September 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Grinzinger Pod carrying 128lbs at $26. Capable of sharp improvement with the claim. 2nd Pick 3 Master Of Disguise Jockey: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen Trainer: Danielle Seib J: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen T: Danielle Seib	126	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 10 in a Open Bm84 at Canberra Acton on August 21 over 6f, 6 len behind Who But Roo with 118lbs at $7.50. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in a Cond Bm68 at Wyong on September 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Grinzinger Pod carrying 128lbs at $26. Capable of sharp improvement with the claim.
2	Returns from a 46-day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Bardia's Dream carrying 137lbs at $13. The run before that 4th of 9 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 6f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Miss Lola with 133lbs at $26. Nicely placed and is a winning chance. 3rd Pick 2 Zethus Jockey: Brodie Loy Trainer: Peter Smith J: Brodie Loy T: Peter Smith	137	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a 46-day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Bardia's Dream carrying 137lbs at $13. The run before that 4th of 9 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 6f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Miss Lola with 133lbs at $26. Nicely placed and is a winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.