AU - Launceston - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.1f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CELTIC ROSE (3) went close here over 7f in a CL2 and then was outgraded at Quality level over 6f in the Royal Rambo. Newitt sticks aboard and she draws for a soft run. Finds the right race and will be hard to beat. ARTILLERY FIRE (6) improved again beaten a long neck this track/trip. The 3lbs claimer has an awkward gate to manage, but she will present at peak and will go close with average luck. BAD ALIBI (8) races forward and delivered a comfortable Maiden win with a 2.2L defeat against the above. Draws wide but has gate speed and the 2ikg claim is handy. Has claims if things work out. OLIVE GIRL (9) is fourth-up and still well shy of her best. Has a key gear switch and keep her onside.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Last start second last in a small field at this track Qlty Hcp on February 25 over 6f, 3 len behind Perspiration with 119lbs at $51. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at this track Cl2 on January 30 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Beneficiary carrying 121lbs at $16. Well placed to take it out. 1st Pick 3 Celtic Rose Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Andrew Moore J: Craig Newitt T: Andrew Moore	190	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start second last in a small field at this track Qlty Hcp on February 25 over 6f, 3 len behind Perspiration with 119lbs at $51. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at this track Cl2 on January 30 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Beneficiary carrying 121lbs at $16. Well placed to take it out.
6	Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1 on February 20 over 6f, long-neck behind Novalargo carrying 120lbs at $9. The start before that 4th of 12 at Hobart Cl1 on February 8 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Magnolia Sky with 120lbs at $16. Ready to win. 2nd Pick 6 Artillery Fire Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Sigrid Carr J: Jabez Johnstone T: Sigrid Carr	130	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1 on February 20 over 6f, long-neck behind Novalargo carrying 120lbs at $9. The start before that 4th of 12 at Hobart Cl1 on February 8 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Magnolia Sky with 120lbs at $16. Ready to win.
8	Last start 5th of 11 at this track Cl1 on February 20 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Novalargo carrying 118lbs at $4. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw January 30 over 6f in soft going defeating Who's In Dev carrying 115lbs at $3.70. Capable type and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Bad Alibi Jockey: Lauren Burke Trainer: John Blacker J: Lauren Burke T: John Blacker	102	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 at this track Cl1 on February 20 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Novalargo carrying 118lbs at $4. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw January 30 over 6f in soft going defeating Who's In Dev carrying 115lbs at $3.70. Capable type and deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.