AU - Kilcoy - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

13.9K

VIEW

Verdict

FINAL VOYAGE (5) sat just off the pace and scored here at her penultimate start, and then tried to make all the running from a wide draw at Warwick last start before being collared late to finish second by a neck. She has a superior gate this time, and back to the level she won at, she can take this out. DOITLIKEMAXWELL (4) has not won for some time, but ended his last season in good form. He has had a couple of tune-up trials, and should be running in strongly in this. Each way. CHANGE THE DEEL (1) is usually doing his best work late in his races, and if they overdo it front here, he can slice through late to have the last say. CALVARY (7) was beaten but not disgraced in a harder field last start, and map to receive an economical run early on in this from a good gate. Include him in all top 4 combos. STARWARD (3) will be on a 5-day backup after finishing a game third at Gatton over 5 ½f. He will need some luck from a tricky gate, but has placed twice here, so stick with him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 58 at Warwick on September 10 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Zarippa carrying 121lbs at $11. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len in a 0 - 55 at this track on August 23 over 6f defeating Copper Star carrying 120lbs at $2.30. Expected to be very competitive. 1st Pick 5 Final Voyage Jockey: Jess Emmerson Trainer: Alyssa & Troy Sweeney J: Jess Emmerson T: Alyssa & Troy Sweeney	165	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 58 at Warwick on September 10 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Zarippa carrying 121lbs at $11. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len in a 0 - 55 at this track on August 23 over 6f defeating Copper Star carrying 120lbs at $2.30. Expected to be very competitive.
4	Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at this track 0 - 55 May 22 over 7 ½f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Coney Island Baby with 128lbs at $4.80. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Gatton 0 - 55 January 9 over 5 ½f, a long neck behind Miss Zermatt carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Will take great benefit from this run. 2nd Pick 4 Doitlikemaxwell Jockey: Les Tilley Trainer: Pat Webster J: Les Tilley T: Pat Webster	122	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at this track 0 - 55 May 22 over 7 ½f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Coney Island Baby with 128lbs at $4.80. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Gatton 0 - 55 January 9 over 5 ½f, a long neck behind Miss Zermatt carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Will take great benefit from this run.
1	Returns from a 40-day let-up. Last start 5th of 11 in a C,G&E 0 - 58 at Ipswich on August 27 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.25 len behind The Torque Xpress with 130lbs at $9.50. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 in a Cl4 at Toowoomba on August 8 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Thunder Award with 119lbs at $9. Looks all set to run well again. 3rd Pick 1 Change The Deel Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Philip Minter J: Brandon Lerena T: Philip Minter	98	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Returns from a 40-day let-up. Last start 5th of 11 in a C,G&E 0 - 58 at Ipswich on August 27 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.25 len behind The Torque Xpress with 130lbs at $9.50. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 in a Cl4 at Toowoomba on August 8 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Thunder Award with 119lbs at $9. Looks all set to run well again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.