AU - Kilcoy - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

13.3K

VIEW

Verdict

AVERRED (3) strode forward early from his wide draw to settle just off the lead last start then lifted to score by one length at this track over 7 ½f. Sure to measure up again. DECARBONISE (5) showed good early speed from the inside draw last time and stalked the lead before fading to finish sixth over 1 ?m at Gold Coast. Will be handy in the run and should prove hard to run down. GOLD DAZZLER (1) was too good for a maiden field last start over 7f at Gatton, scoring by a nose. Tougher task this time but expected to be competitive again. MAEVE (8) has hit the top-five in ten of her past 11 starts and is a must for the exotics players.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn December 19 over 7 ½f defeating Caramelfudgesundae with 130lbs at $3. The run before that 4th of 9 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Highgrove Rose with 129lbs at $26. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 1st Pick 3 Averred Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Gary Duncan J: Adam Sewell T: Gary Duncan	119	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn December 19 over 7 ½f defeating Caramelfudgesundae with 130lbs at $3. The run before that 4th of 9 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Highgrove Rose with 129lbs at $26. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.
5	Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Gold Coast Bm58 on December 6 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Deep Dawn with 128lbs at $12. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Beaudesert 0 - 55 on November 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Scoundrel carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Nicely placed and expected to go a lot better. 2nd Pick 5 Decarbonise Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: John Gilmore J: Dylan Turner T: John Gilmore	114	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Gold Coast Bm58 on December 6 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Deep Dawn with 128lbs at $12. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Beaudesert 0 - 55 on November 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Scoundrel carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Nicely placed and expected to go a lot better.
12	Last start 7th of 12 at Nanango Bm50 on December 13 over 1m, 7 len behind Forebears carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Before that eased back early on 7th of 10 at this track Bm58 on November 19 over 7 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Baccarat Rouge carrying 117lbs at $9. Rates highly on her best form and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 12 Half Moon Roo Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John Johnston J: Non Runner T: John Johnston	78	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 7th of 12 at Nanango Bm50 on December 13 over 1m, 7 len behind Forebears carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Before that eased back early on 7th of 10 at this track Bm58 on November 19 over 7 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Baccarat Rouge carrying 117lbs at $9. Rates highly on her best form and can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.