AU - Kilcoy - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.5f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

14.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Wide open. BRAIN WAVE (5) doesn't win out of turn but won't find a better chance for an overdue win. Safely held over 6f fresh then ran a much improved race straight to 1 ?m in a richer race at Eagle Farm. Fitter again and back a notch. Gets chance to find form. TARTAN TIGER (3) was placed at Ipswich two back then was well off best last time. This suits and with ant luck from the wide gate can atone. PIGGIETALES (8) has solid prospects on best figures and this is easier. Doesn't win out of turn but senior rider on and should be finishing hard. MYSTICAL GEM (7) wasn't far away latest and should give a sight.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 7th of 9 at Beaudesert F&M Cl2 on July 7 over 6f, 5 len behind Sequel with 119lbs at $15. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on July 15 over 1m, 3 len behind Cansort carrying 114lbs at $9. Profiles nicely. Should be at peak fitness now and gets chance to find form. 1st Pick 5 Brain Wave Jockey: Adin Thompson Trainer: Maryann Brosnan J: Adin Thompson T: Maryann Brosnan	77	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 7th of 9 at Beaudesert F&M Cl2 on July 7 over 6f, 5 len behind Sequel with 119lbs at $15. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on July 15 over 1m, 3 len behind Cansort carrying 114lbs at $9. Profiles nicely. Should be at peak fitness now and gets chance to find form.
3	Last start ran second last of 7 at Sunshine Coast Bm62 on July 26 over 1m, 14 len behind Barbray with 123lbs at $10. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ipswich Cl1 on July 3 over 6 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Tinklejazz with 123lbs at $26. Tough gate but will be hitting the line hard. 2nd Pick 3 Tartan Tiger Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Eric Hayes J: Brandon Lerena T: Eric Hayes	195	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start ran second last of 7 at Sunshine Coast Bm62 on July 26 over 1m, 14 len behind Barbray with 123lbs at $10. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ipswich Cl1 on July 3 over 6 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Tinklejazz with 123lbs at $26. Tough gate but will be hitting the line hard.
6	Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 7 at Toowoomba Bm60 on August 1 over 1 m, 8 len behind Madalsa carrying 119lbs at $12. The race before that 5th of 9 at Toowoomba Bm60 on July 18 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Good Philly carrying 125lbs at $31. Has the big claim and right in the mix. 3rd Pick 6 Caitlin Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Nick Keal J: Non Runner T: Nick Keal	111	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 7 at Toowoomba Bm60 on August 1 over 1 m, 8 len behind Madalsa carrying 119lbs at $12. The race before that 5th of 9 at Toowoomba Bm60 on July 18 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Good Philly carrying 125lbs at $31. Has the big claim and right in the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.