AU - Kilcoy - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

9.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

13.3K

VIEW

Verdict

CASTERLY ROCK (1) did a good job last start to finish third over 1 ?m at Gold Coast, beaten 2 lengths. Won't find this as tough so he is likely to feature in the finish. CHANCE WITH WOLVES (5) got well back over 1m at Eagle Farm last time and never threatened, eventually finishing 8 lengths away in ninth. The engagement of Morgan Butler is a positive move and has the talent to put the recent poor run behind him. BANDIT (2) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race and finished 5.5 lengths away in fourth last time out over 7 ½f at this track. Well placed and there is no reason why he cannot find winning ways. BACCARAT ROUGE (6) improved last time out, finishing 2 lengths from the winner in third at the end of 7 ½f here. Suitably placed so she can figure again.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1st Pick 1 Casterly Rock Jockey: Damien Boche Trainer: Jack Bruce J: Damien Boche T: Jack Bruce	118	-	-	-	29%	5/2
2	3rd Pick 2 Bandit Jockey: Leah Martyn Trainer: Trevor Thomas J: Leah Martyn T: Trevor Thomas	132	-	-	-	6%	18/1
3	3 Change The Deel Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Philip Minter J: Brandon Lerena T: Philip Minter	85	-	-	-	8%	12/1
4	4 Hokkaido Jockey: Les Tilley Trainer: Rodney Hay J: Les Tilley T: Rodney Hay	118	-	-	-	9%	11/1
5	2nd Pick 5 Chance With Wolves Jockey: Morgan Butler Trainer: Jan Aitkenhead J: Morgan Butler T: Jan Aitkenhead	120	-	-	-	27%	11/4
6	6 Baccarat Rouge Jockey: Colleen Krahnen Trainer: William Kropp J: Colleen Krahnen T: William Kropp	104	-	-	-	15%	6/1
7	7 Revelaide Jockey: Chelsea Baker Trainer: Vivian Coombes J: Chelsea Baker T: Vivian Coombes	75	-	-	-	6%	18/1
8	8 Maurita Jockey: Ashvin Goindasamy Trainer: Ruby Chatterton J: Ashvin Goindasamy T: Ruby Chatterton	58	-	-	-	11%	17/2
9	9 You Think So Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ruby Chatterton J: Non Runner T: Ruby Chatterton	73	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
10	10 Zelezny Jockey: Jason Taylor Trainer: Ravyn Warzecha J: Jason Taylor T: Ravyn Warzecha	65	-	-	-	2%	50/1
11	11 Buddy's Tale Jockey: Stephanie Tierney Trainer: Deborah Corbett J: Stephanie Tierney T: Deborah Corbett	91	-	-	-	13%	7/1