AU - Kilcoy - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

13.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BRASS BAND (2) capped off some strong form with an overdue maiden win at Grafton, and the manner in which he won that race suggests that it won't be his last. Stick with him. TRUSTY BANDIT (3) finished ahead of the top pick in the same race at Gatton 5-days ago, and he is reunited with winning hoop Brandon Lerena. His record around this course is very strong, and with that being a big advantage, he can win this. LORD DANILO (5) has raced his way into some good form, and all of his best performances, including his only win, has come around this circuit. Each way. SEERESS (7) has a good record on this track, winning 3-times, and her win at Lismore 11 days ago was by nearly 3 lengths. She carries the same weight, and can repeat the dose.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run 7th of 12 in a 0 - 58 at Gatton on October 1 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Quality Miss carrying 128lbs at $7. Before that 8th of 14 in a Bm62 at Eagle Farm on September 19 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Cigar Man carrying 122lbs at $8. Backs up quickly, and can take this out. 1st Pick 4 California Grass Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Zintilis J: Non Runner T: Chris Zintilis	138	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 12 in a 0 - 58 at Gatton on October 1 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Quality Miss carrying 128lbs at $7. Before that 8th of 14 in a Bm62 at Eagle Farm on September 19 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Cigar Man carrying 122lbs at $8. Backs up quickly, and can take this out.
2	Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2 len in a Mdn-Sw at Grafton on September 21 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Follow That Dream with 130lbs at $2.60. Before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Sunshine Coast on September 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind A Bit Dusty carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Found form and should be thereabouts again. 2nd Pick 2 Brass Band Jockey: Tiffani Brooker Trainer: Renita Beaton J: Tiffani Brooker T: Renita Beaton	123	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2 len in a Mdn-Sw at Grafton on September 21 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Follow That Dream with 130lbs at $2.60. Before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Sunshine Coast on September 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind A Bit Dusty carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Found form and should be thereabouts again.
3	Most recently 4th of 12 in a 0 - 58 at Gatton on October 1 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Quality Miss carrying 131lbs at $26. The run before that 6th of 9 in a Bm60 at Dalby on September 13 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Power Of Success with 128lbs at $5.50. Making headway. He is right in this. 3rd Pick 3 Trusty Bandit Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: William Kropp J: Brandon Lerena T: William Kropp	178	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 12 in a 0 - 58 at Gatton on October 1 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Quality Miss carrying 131lbs at $26. The run before that 6th of 9 in a Bm60 at Dalby on September 13 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Power Of Success with 128lbs at $5.50. Making headway. He is right in this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.