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53 Min Till Start

AU - Kilcoy - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
14.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MUCHACHO (1) is unlucky to still be a maiden hitting the top-five in all four starts to date and strikes a very winnable contest here. Just ran into one better at Dalby last time out and Thompson sticks in the saddle following that last-start placing. Rates the testing material. TWILIGHT STEPS (4) has placed three from three around this circuit and gets in well at the weights with the 7lbs claim. Nicely placed to play a major role. HAPPY COFFEE (12) has placed one from one over this track and trip and will find this easier than recent outings. In the mix. THE IMMORTALS (3) didn't measure up in town at the latest effort but go on the placing over this course and distance two back. Can bounce back. RUBOS (2) rounds out the selections.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Muchacho silk

Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 12 at Gold Coast Mdn on September 6 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Smudged carrying 131lbs at $5. Second-up raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Dalby Mdn on September 20 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Baccarat Rouge with 129lbs at $3.50. Capable of a better showing. Shapes as a key runner.

1st Pick
1

Muchacho

Jockey: Adin Thompson

Trainer: Cameron A Richardson

J: Adin Thompson

T: Cameron A Richardson

145---58%8/11

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 12 at Gold Coast Mdn on September 6 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Smudged carrying 131lbs at $5. Second-up raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Dalby Mdn on September 20 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Baccarat Rouge with 129lbs at $3.50. Capable of a better showing. Shapes as a key runner.

4
Twilight Steps silk

Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 10 at Dalby Mdn-Sw on September 20 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Trusty Bandit carrying 122lbs at $26. Previously second-up ran last of 9 at Yeppoon Mdn on September 24 2024 over 6f, 8 len behind Spirited Smile with 129lbs at $81. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
4

Twilight Steps

Jockey: Kayla Johnston

Trainer: John Johnston

J: Kayla Johnston

T: John Johnston

173---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 10 at Dalby Mdn-Sw on September 20 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Trusty Bandit carrying 122lbs at $26. Previously second-up ran last of 9 at Yeppoon Mdn on September 24 2024 over 6f, 8 len behind Spirited Smile with 129lbs at $81. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

12
Happy Coffee silk

Last start 7th of 11 at Gold Coast Poly Mdn on September 27 over 7 ¾f, 10 len behind Sistine Chapel with 117lbs at $21. The run before that 7th of 14 at Ipswich Mdn-Sw on August 20 over 1 m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Piston Rebel carrying 119lbs at $101. Terrific chance to return to form.

3rd Pick
12

Happy Coffee

Jockey: Chelsea Baker

Trainer: James Moore

J: Chelsea Baker

T: James Moore

124---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start 7th of 11 at Gold Coast Poly Mdn on September 27 over 7 ¾f, 10 len behind Sistine Chapel with 117lbs at $21. The run before that 7th of 14 at Ipswich Mdn-Sw on August 20 over 1 m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Piston Rebel carrying 119lbs at $101. Terrific chance to return to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.