AU - Kembla Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

HELLISH (2) turned at the tail of the field and couldn't get involved last Saturday in a 5f BM78 of metro standing. Has won four from ten at today's journey and this is a far weaker race. It all sets up perfectly for a return to form. CONFESS OUR DREAMS (1) was not sighted in four Saturday metro races before a better effort last start, beaten 2.5 lengths over 5 ½f at Canterbury. Back further in grade now and might have found her level. No surprise to see something positive here. COMMANDING BELLE (10) drops back to more suitable company and is sure to improve racing back on her home track. ICONIC TREASURE (4) falls into the same boat and appears the next in line.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 8 at Wyong Prov Bm68 on October 30 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Oceans One carrying 134lbs at $6. Last start second last of 10 at this track Bm78 on November 22 over 5f, slow going 9 len behind Spywire with 126lbs at $19. Back in class and deserves another chance. 1st Pick 2 Hellish Jockey: Mitch Stapleford Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Mitch Stapleford T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	168	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 8 at Wyong Prov Bm68 on October 30 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Oceans One carrying 134lbs at $6. Last start second last of 10 at this track Bm78 on November 22 over 5f, slow going 9 len behind Spywire with 126lbs at $19. Back in class and deserves another chance.
9	Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 at Hawkesbury Mid Bm64 on November 8 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Probability Theory carrying 130lbs at $9. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Muswellbrook Denman Cup on October 6 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Earl Of Bantry with 120lbs at $6. Racing well and another win is on the cards. 2nd Pick 9 Smart Serenade Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Nick Mitchell J: Non Runner T: Nick Mitchell	83	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 at Hawkesbury Mid Bm64 on November 8 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Probability Theory carrying 130lbs at $9. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Muswellbrook Denman Cup on October 6 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Earl Of Bantry with 120lbs at $6. Racing well and another win is on the cards.
1	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Canterbury Bm78 on November 14 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Apex carrying 128lbs at $10. The start before that second last of 10 at Randwick Bm78 on November 1 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Pokerjack with 128lbs at $16. Struggling in town of late so this drop in grade could see a return to form. 3rd Pick 1 Confess Our Dreams Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Brad Widdup	155	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Canterbury Bm78 on November 14 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Apex carrying 128lbs at $10. The start before that second last of 10 at Randwick Bm78 on November 1 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Pokerjack with 128lbs at $16. Struggling in town of late so this drop in grade could see a return to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.