AU - Kembla Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

29.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DIACON (5) has found the line well to pick up a couple of minor prizes since returning from a spell, the latest over this distance at Wyong. Lightly raced filly who continues to improve and this looks a winnable race at the third run back. It has been 72 weeks since LIGHTHOUSE LASS (7) won her maiden but recent efforts have been encouraging. Not the best away but rallied late to finish fourth last time out over this trip at Newcastle. Just needs luck from a sticky gate to be right in the thick of things. ELLISMAYNE (9) backs up seven days after tiring to finish sixth over 7f at Newcastle. Best form comes at this trip. Wide gate the only knock. GAELIC GEM (12) did a good job to hold on for third when resuming over 5f at Wyong recently. Far better placed out to 6f and she gets all the favours from the inside alley. TESSY TEE (14) was poor last start but has been freshened up and a tongue tie goes on so give her another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 7 at Hawkesbury Cl1 on May 21 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Miss Farnan with 126lbs at $2.70. Second run from a spell came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Wyong F&M Bm64 on June 7 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Totoka carrying 130lbs at $3.80. Rates highly. Progressing nicely and should be peaking now. 1st Pick 5 Diacon Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Keagan Latham T: Bjorn Baker	165	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 7 at Hawkesbury Cl1 on May 21 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Miss Farnan with 126lbs at $2.70. Second run from a spell came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Wyong F&M Bm64 on June 7 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Totoka carrying 130lbs at $3.80. Rates highly. Progressing nicely and should be peaking now.
7	Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. Last start from last on the turn 4th of 8 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Hidden Star carrying 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 16 at Scone Cl2 on May 15 over 6 ½f, 1.1 len behind Brutal Belle with 127lbs at $3.50. Better than that and is a leading player. 2nd Pick 7 Lighthouse Lass Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Unknown Jockey T: Richard & Will Freedman	180	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. Last start from last on the turn 4th of 8 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Hidden Star carrying 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 16 at Scone Cl2 on May 15 over 6 ½f, 1.1 len behind Brutal Belle with 127lbs at $3.50. Better than that and is a leading player.
9	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Miss Chastain with 126lbs at $5.50. The run before that 5th of 9 at Illawarra Grange Cl1 on May 30 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Squeezebox with 127lbs at $12. Well placed. Draws out again but should fare a lot better in this suitable contest. 3rd Pick 9 Ellismayne Jockey: Brock Ryan Trainer: John P Thompson J: Brock Ryan T: John P Thompson	129	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Miss Chastain with 126lbs at $5.50. The run before that 5th of 9 at Illawarra Grange Cl1 on May 30 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Squeezebox with 127lbs at $12. Well placed. Draws out again but should fare a lot better in this suitable contest.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.