AU - Kembla Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.7K

VIEW

Verdict

HALF PIPE (11) started at a very short quote and got the job done first-up at Muswellbrook. Had no luck in the run subsequently at Randwick so his effort to be beaten just 2.6 lengths was full of merit. Great chance to return to the winner's list. MISTY VEIL (8) has come of age this prep, collecting her maiden two back then working home well for third as favourite over 4 ½f at Newcastle last time. Should be even more effective over the extra ½f today. STILL ALICE (3) was six weeks between runs when third in a similar race to this here last start. Given another month to recover from that effort. Lightly raced six-year-old mare who is a leading contender. AEGIPAN (10) was ridden aggressively and just failed to record a seventh 5f win when beaten narrowly here three weeks ago. Right in contention with the help of the inside alley. TAI LUNG (4) wasn't far away first-up over this course and distance. The winner of three from six second up so he has the right profile.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Dual acceptor. Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 3 len win at Muswellbrook on July 7 over 5f in soft going defeating Write Me A Letter with 126lbs at $1.18. Last start 7th of 10 at Randwick on July 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Scintillation with 120lbs at $4.20. Promising type who can bounce back. 1st Pick 11 Half Pipe Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Mitchell Bell T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	125	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 3 len win at Muswellbrook on July 7 over 5f in soft going defeating Write Me A Letter with 126lbs at $1.18. Last start 7th of 10 at Randwick on July 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Scintillation with 120lbs at $4.20. Promising type who can bounce back.
8	At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Newcastle on August 1 over 4 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind Grey Effects carrying 127lbs at $2.45. The start before that favourite, won by 2 len at Newcastle on July 11 over 4 ½f in the wet defeating Tsardeal carrying 126lbs at $1.80. Not far away last time and will be cherry ripe for this assignment. 2nd Pick 8 Misty Veil Jockey: Sam Clipperton Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Sam Clipperton T: Ciaron Maher	105	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Newcastle on August 1 over 4 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind Grey Effects carrying 127lbs at $2.45. The start before that favourite, won by 2 len at Newcastle on July 11 over 4 ½f in the wet defeating Tsardeal carrying 126lbs at $1.80. Not far away last time and will be cherry ripe for this assignment.
3	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Hawkesbury on June 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Lady Shenanigans carrying 131lbs at $11. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track on July 16 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Century Song with 131lbs at $17. Likely to race on the speed and will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Still Alice Jockey: Jeff Penza Trainer: Lee & Cherie Curtis J: Jeff Penza T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	73	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Hawkesbury on June 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Lady Shenanigans carrying 131lbs at $11. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track on July 16 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Century Song with 131lbs at $17. Likely to race on the speed and will be hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.