AU - Kembla Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

31.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BE QUIET (5) had been struggling in town earlier this prep but responded well to the drop in grade last start when beaten narrowly over this distance at Tuncurry. Has been to Kembla twice and won both times. Great chance to enhance that record. DANCES WITH HOOVES (2) is first-up from a short spell for the local Price stable. Opened last prep with a placing in a $50k quality sprint over this distance at Tamworth. Not seen at the trials since her last run three months ago. Betting a key indicator. ME ME (10) goes well here over 6f as a rule and with a bit of weight relief today can run a bold race. PELEUS (6) a big watch fresh on his home track from the middle draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run 2nd of 12 in a Bm74 at Tuncurry on September 11 over 6f, head behind Andrea with 132lbs at $12. The race before that 8th of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Randwick on August 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Clear Proof carrying 122lbs at $31. The winner of both starts and Kembla and shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 5 Be Quiet Jockey: Rory Hutchings Trainer: Kim Waugh J: Rory Hutchings T: Kim Waugh	162	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 12 in a Bm74 at Tuncurry on September 11 over 6f, head behind Andrea with 132lbs at $12. The race before that 8th of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Randwick on August 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Clear Proof carrying 122lbs at $31. The winner of both starts and Kembla and shapes as one of the key chances.
2	Mare back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Warwick Farm Bm72 June 24 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Concordia Wind with 121lbs at $26. Previously first up, third of 11 at Tamworth Open April 24 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Pride To Follow carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Likely to be better for this run but is still among the leading players. 2nd Pick 2 Dances With Hooves Jockey: Deon Le Roux Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Deon Le Roux T: Robert & Luke Price	72	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Mare back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Warwick Farm Bm72 June 24 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Concordia Wind with 121lbs at $26. Previously first up, third of 11 at Tamworth Open April 24 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Pride To Follow carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Likely to be better for this run but is still among the leading players.
1	Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 in a Mid Bm64 at Hawkesbury on September 10 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Lady Of The Castle carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up ran last of 7 in a Mid Cond Bm68 at this track on January 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Close Encounter with 133lbs at $8.50. Distance specialist who looks tough to beat with that run under the belt. 3rd Pick 1 Los Padres Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Non Runner T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	122	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 in a Mid Bm64 at Hawkesbury on September 10 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Lady Of The Castle carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up ran last of 7 in a Mid Cond Bm68 at this track on January 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Close Encounter with 133lbs at $8.50. Distance specialist who looks tough to beat with that run under the belt.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).