AU - Kembla Grange - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

27.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CAN'T TOUCH THIS (11) returned to form last start with an all-the-way win over this distance at Nowra. Can be a little hard to catch but is a very handy mare when on-song. Well drawn and should be prominent for a long way. COPACABANA (3) is back from nearly a year on the sidelines. Placed three from three when fresh and a couple of strong recent trials suggest things are on track. AUTUMN BLONDE (6) just faded in the closing stages at Newcastle last start. Very fit filly who will enjoy the run of the race from the inside alley. In the mix in this suitable race. PANIC (1) returns from a 29-week lay-off. The winner of two from four when fresh. Good recent trial form suggests he is ready to make an immediate impact. SMASHING TIME (2) is a strong fresh performer who has not appeared since 5 July. Recent trial winner here and looks set for a bright return.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	At the latest run favourite, won by 1.0 len at Nowra Bm66 October 19 over 6f defeating Fun Sponge with 123lbs at $3. The run before that 5th of 9 at this track Bm64 on October 4 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Couples Retreat carrying 122lbs at $61. Sure to get all the favours from barrier five and can win again. 1st Pick 11 Can't Touch This Jockey: Lee Magorrian Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Lee Magorrian T: Matthew Smith	135	-	-	-	25%
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 1.0 len at Nowra Bm66 October 19 over 6f defeating Fun Sponge with 123lbs at $3. The run before that 5th of 9 at this track Bm64 on October 4 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Couples Retreat carrying 122lbs at $61. Sure to get all the favours from barrier five and can win again.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 11 at Newcastle Hurricane on September 19 over 4 ½f, 1.2 len behind Durova carrying 122lbs at $4.20. Second-up 7th of 9 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 on October 15 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Jellicious with 127lbs at $10. Big chance back at the provincials. 2nd Pick 5 Written Scandal Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Non Runner T: Peter Snowden	141	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 11 at Newcastle Hurricane on September 19 over 4 ½f, 1.2 len behind Durova carrying 122lbs at $4.20. Second-up 7th of 9 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 on October 15 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Jellicious with 127lbs at $10. Big chance back at the provincials.
19	Dual acceptor. Third-up today. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 13 at this track Bm64 on September 18 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Whatalegacy carrying 123lbs at $8. Last start was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 1.0 len at this track Cl1 October 13 over 5f defeating Luskintyre with 122lbs at $14. Strips fitter and can perform well again. 3rd Pick 19 Point Score Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Amanda Turner J: Non Runner T: Amanda Turner	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 13 at this track Bm64 on September 18 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Whatalegacy carrying 123lbs at $8. Last start was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 1.0 len at this track Cl1 October 13 over 5f defeating Luskintyre with 122lbs at $14. Strips fitter and can perform well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.