AU - Kembla Grange - Race 6

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.5f

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 8

32.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BRANNUM (3) stalked the speed and engaged in a thrilling finish when going under narrowly over the 1m at Hawkesbury in this class on a heavy (8) surface. Can put these away today from the good gate. FELIS CHAUS (6) improved off his average first-up run with a fast finishing second over 6 ½f at Goulburn. Clearly come back stronger this prep and can hold a position from the sticky gate. ROSE WATER (10) deep into the campaign and she gets a much better set-up today. Kept finding in the heavy (8) going when third over 7f at Taree. Assess on her good second in this grade at Newcastle three-starts back. ELLISMAYNE (2) turned in a brave performance when he stalked the speed with the 131lbs to finish a close-up third over 6 ½f at Goulburn in C2 class. Fitter now and stays in the calculations. The chances don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Hawkesbury Mid Cl1 on May 21 over 1m, on a wet track, neck behind Polo with 123lbs at $26. The run before that 8th of 10 at Newcastle Mid Bm64 on May 2 over 1 ³/16m, 11 len behind Rothrock carrying 126lbs at $61. Due for a change of luck. 1st Pick 3 Brannum Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Theresa Bateup J: Tyler Schiller T: Theresa Bateup	91	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Hawkesbury Mid Cl1 on May 21 over 1m, on a wet track, neck behind Polo with 123lbs at $26. The run before that 8th of 10 at Newcastle Mid Bm64 on May 2 over 1 ³/16m, 11 len behind Rothrock carrying 126lbs at $61. Due for a change of luck.
8	Resuming after a break of five months. Finished off last preparation second last in a small field at Nowra Bm66 December 31 over 1m, 9 len behind Hell's Itch with 116lbs at $41. First up last campaign ran last of 7 at this track Prov Cl1 December 11 over 1m, 12 len behind Channelling with 125lbs at $31. Might be better off following this outing. 2nd Pick 8 Tod Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Grant Buckley T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	84	-	-	-	3%	40/1
Analysis Resuming after a break of five months. Finished off last preparation second last in a small field at Nowra Bm66 December 31 over 1m, 9 len behind Hell's Itch with 116lbs at $41. First up last campaign ran last of 7 at this track Prov Cl1 December 11 over 1m, 12 len behind Channelling with 125lbs at $31. Might be better off following this outing.
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming second last of 7 at Goulburn Cg&E Cl1 on April 27 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Shoreman carrying 128lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 2nd of 8 at Goulburn Cl2 Bm62 on May 7 over 6 ½f, nose behind Viipuri carrying 128lbs at $4. Looks a key runner set to peak. 3rd Pick 6 Felis Chaus Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Richard Litt J: Tom Sherry T: Richard Litt	98	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming second last of 7 at Goulburn Cg&E Cl1 on April 27 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Shoreman carrying 128lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 2nd of 8 at Goulburn Cl2 Bm62 on May 7 over 6 ½f, nose behind Viipuri carrying 128lbs at $4. Looks a key runner set to peak.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.