AU - Kembla Grange - Race 6

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.7K

VIEW

Verdict

Even contest with plenty of chances. PELOSA (6) is a progressive mare who chipped away late on resumption with a close-up fifth over 6f at this track. Lone victory came second-up and gets every chance with Zac Lloyd aboard. ALIGNED (1) consistent gelding who bounced off his good first-up third, with a tenacious victory over 6f at Gosford with the 134lbs. Drawn to get the right run and expected to go close. PERLE DE CHOCOLAT (7) ridden with intent early before being nailed late to finish a close-up fourth over 6 ½f at Newcastle. Regular rider goes back on and shapes as a value player. CAN EXPECT GREATER (9) found the line nicely third-up with an unlucky second over 6f at this track. Gets the right tempo again and not without each way claims. The chances don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second-up. First-up after nine months 5th of 9 at this track F&M Bm64 on February 7 over 6f, slow going 1.3 len behind Chix carrying 131lbs at $11. Previously second-up won by 2.5 len at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw April 5 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Okami Star carrying 125lbs at $14. Strips fitter and comes to hand quickly. 1st Pick 6 Pelosa Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	194	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months 5th of 9 at this track F&M Bm64 on February 7 over 6f, slow going 1.3 len behind Chix carrying 131lbs at $11. Previously second-up won by 2.5 len at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw April 5 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Okami Star carrying 125lbs at $14. Strips fitter and comes to hand quickly.
1	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on January 31 over 6 ½f, 1.1 len behind Embrace The Wind carrying 128lbs at $2.80. Last start came from midfield and won by a nose at Gosford Cl1 February 11 over 6f defeating Classic Pocket carrying 134lbs at $3.80. Rates highly and expected to go close again. 2nd Pick 1 Aligned Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Tom Sherry T: Peter Snowden	183	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on January 31 over 6 ½f, 1.1 len behind Embrace The Wind carrying 128lbs at $2.80. Last start came from midfield and won by a nose at Gosford Cl1 February 11 over 6f defeating Classic Pocket carrying 134lbs at $3.80. Rates highly and expected to go close again.
7	Dual acceptor. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on January 31 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Embrace The Wind with 125lbs at $10. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cl1 on January 15 over 5 ¾f, slow going 2 len behind Ferinzo carrying 125lbs at $20. Not far away last start and worth another chance. 3rd Pick 7 Perle De Chocolat Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Tyler Schiller T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou	105	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on January 31 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Embrace The Wind with 125lbs at $10. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cl1 on January 15 over 5 ¾f, slow going 2 len behind Ferinzo carrying 125lbs at $20. Not far away last start and worth another chance.

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A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

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