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5:44 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 6

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
30.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FOVEA (12) is a Farnan filly from the stakes-winning mare Jennifer Eccles. Looks forward enough following a trial win with Winona Costin aboard. Expected to go well. EVICTION NOTICE (9) was prominent at the turn and progressed nicely last start to finish a close third over 5 ½f at Gosford after missing the placings at the previous appearance. Has his share of ability but is becoming frustrating for his supporters. YAMASHITA (14) was second up last start and went close, beaten 0.8 lengths into third at this track over 6f. Should be ready to find peak form. PONZI SCHEME (10) returns. Was good on debut without winning when tackling the Wellington Boot. Has been fitted with a trial and is drawn favourably. Can make a bright return. BRUTAL ADVANCE (1) also returns and while he finds the maiden win elusive he's shown enough ability to make his presence felt. Trial win in readiness has him in a good spot.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Fovea silk

Three-year-old filly lining up for debut. Readied for this with a dominant trial win, scoring by 6.11 lengths at Gosford over 4f on August 31. One to beat.

1st Pick
12

Fovea

Jockey: Winona Costin

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Winona Costin

T: Bjorn Baker

59---56%4/5

Analysis

Three-year-old filly lining up for debut. Readied for this with a dominant trial win, scoring by 6.11 lengths at Gosford over 4f on August 31. One to beat.

9
Eviction Notice silk

At the latest run ran second last in a small field in a Cge Mdn-Sw at Gosford on August 28 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.4 len behind Peyton carrying 125lbs at $2.80. The run before that 8th of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at Rosehill on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Chilly Girl carrying 119lbs at $41. Worth following.

2nd Pick
9

Eviction Notice

Jockey: Zac Wadick

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Zac Wadick

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

208---34%2/1

Analysis

At the latest run ran second last in a small field in a Cge Mdn-Sw at Gosford on August 28 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.4 len behind Peyton carrying 125lbs at $2.80. The run before that 8th of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at Rosehill on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Chilly Girl carrying 119lbs at $41. Worth following.

14
Yamashita silk

Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 9 in a Super Mdn at this track on August 8 over 5f, head behind Harry's Hussey carrying 125lbs at $9.50. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at this track on August 29 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Star Minerva with 122lbs at $3.70. Expected to feature.

3rd Pick
14

Yamashita

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

189---7%15/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 9 in a Super Mdn at this track on August 8 over 5f, head behind Harry's Hussey carrying 125lbs at $9.50. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at this track on August 29 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Star Minerva with 122lbs at $3.70. Expected to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.