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5:30 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
30.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BE QUIET (3) resumed for new trainer Kim Waugh and ran fourth at Canterbury over 5 ½f and then dropped in class at Gosford last start 16 days ago to win easily as the favourite over 5 ½f. Well placed again in a race that is not much harder, and she is capable of repeating the dose. EQUILIBRIST (4) has needed both if his runs since returning from a spell, the latest a fifth over 6f at Wyong a fortnight ago. He has more to offer, and all of his 3 career victories have come here on his home track. He is a strong each-way chance this time. BUTTERFLY STYLE (9) is a very progressive mare who kicked off her season over 5 ½f at Mudgee, and proved too strong, scoring by nearly a length. She has been a late scratching since then, and if she has not missed any work, then she is a big threat again. CRYPTONIC (1) resumes from a spell as a gelding for the first time. He comes to hand quickly and can't be taken lightly. SPICE BABY (10) is a very promising local gelding resuming. Each way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Be Quiet silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 12 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm72 on November 19 over 5 ½f, head behind Jambalaya with 120lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell won by 1.75 len at Gosford Bm64 December 18 over 5 ½f defeating Iron Fury with 130lbs at $3.70. Yet to taste defeat at this venue so she is expected to go close again.

1st Pick
3

Be Quiet

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Kim Waugh

J: Non Runner

T: Kim Waugh

132---1%1000/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 12 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm72 on November 19 over 5 ½f, head behind Jambalaya with 120lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell won by 1.75 len at Gosford Bm64 December 18 over 5 ½f defeating Iron Fury with 130lbs at $3.70. Yet to taste defeat at this venue so she is expected to go close again.

4
Equilibrist silk

Third-up today. First-up 6th of 10 at Randwick Kensington 5yo+ Bm64 on December 5 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Off The Press with 130lbs at $31. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Wyong Cond Bm68 on December 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Oryx with 126lbs at $18. Racing well. Has the ability and is among the leading chances.

2nd Pick
4

Equilibrist

Jockey: Rebecca Bronett Prag

Trainer: Kerry Parker

J: Rebecca Bronett Prag

T: Kerry Parker

94---8%13/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 6th of 10 at Randwick Kensington 5yo+ Bm64 on December 5 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Off The Press with 130lbs at $31. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Wyong Cond Bm68 on December 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Oryx with 126lbs at $18. Racing well. Has the ability and is among the leading chances.

9
Butterfly Style silk

Second run back. First-up after five months won by 0.8 len at Mudgee Cl3 December 5 over 5 ½f defeating Marvel Man carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by a nose at Sapphire Coast Super Mdn June 8 over 6f in soft going defeating Rubilace with 122lbs at $3.10. A repeat performance is on the cards.

3rd Pick
9

Butterfly Style

Jockey: Grant Buckley

Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

J: Grant Buckley

T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

136---19%9/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months won by 0.8 len at Mudgee Cl3 December 5 over 5 ½f defeating Marvel Man carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by a nose at Sapphire Coast Super Mdn June 8 over 6f in soft going defeating Rubilace with 122lbs at $3.10. A repeat performance is on the cards.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.