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4:55 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 3

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
40.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FASHIONABLE (10) made good late ground on debut despite spotting the leaders a big start. Strips fitter and the rise in trip is a big tick. Expect Clark to have her closer and she looks hard to hold out. LUPA CAPITOLINA (13) also found the line strongly in the same race and will appreciate the extra journey. Capable of sharp improvement and shapes as a key danger. LADY GIOVANNA (11) was a solid fourth on debut at Newcastle over 6 ¼f and has since had a quiet trial. Will relish the extra ground and is a live chance. DECALOGUE (5) fought hard when second at Goulburn and looks ready to peak third-up. Can press forward from the wide gate and prove tough to get past. O'SHEAMUS (14) wasn't able to live up to market expectations first-up at Goulburn but is a likely improver worth keeping safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Fashionable silk

At debut, settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Artistic Venture with 123lbs at $13. Has ability and it will pay to stick with her.

1st Pick
10

Fashionable

Jockey: Tim Clark

Trainer: Michael Freedman

J: Tim Clark

T: Michael Freedman

110---12%8/1

Analysis

At debut, settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Artistic Venture with 123lbs at $13. Has ability and it will pay to stick with her.

13
Lupa Capitolina silk

At debut, from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Artistic Venture carrying 119lbs at $15. Better for that experience, should settle closer and play a major role.

2nd Pick
13

Lupa Capitolina

Jockey: Tyler Schiller

Trainer: Joseph Pride

J: Tyler Schiller

T: Joseph Pride

88---10%10/1

Analysis

At debut, from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Artistic Venture carrying 119lbs at $15. Better for that experience, should settle closer and play a major role.

11
Lady Giovanna silk

At debut, 4th of 11 at Newcastle Super Mdn on August 26 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Amaretto Bo carrying 121lbs at $14. Ran 3rd in a Rosehill trial over 4 ½f on September 9. One of the obvious threats.

3rd Pick
11

Lady Giovanna

Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Kerrin Mcevoy

T: Chris Waller

119---15%6/1

Analysis

At debut, 4th of 11 at Newcastle Super Mdn on August 26 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Amaretto Bo carrying 121lbs at $14. Ran 3rd in a Rosehill trial over 4 ½f on September 9. One of the obvious threats.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.