AU - Kembla Grange - Race 2

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

42.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BUCKEYE (2) comes here with a fitness edge over the bulk of these and finds an easier contest today. Sat on the fast tempo when a courageous third to Journeyman over 6f at Warwick Farm in a Super Maiden. Zac Lloyd sticks and expected to go close. DUCK FOR COVER (1) six-year-old gelding who made his debut with a tenacious on-pace fourth over 6f at this track. Gets the right run and can come on strongly for this. CRUSADER VOYAGE (3) gelded over the break and looks set for a big campaign. Up quickly in class with a fading twelfth in the G1 Spring Champion over 1 ¼m last October. Can sprint well fresh with the two trials under the belt. PAPPA BLUE (4) drifted back from the awkward gate on debut before launching late with a slashing second over 6f at Canberra. Tackles a stiffer contest and must be kept safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 14 at Gold Coast Mm Mdn on January 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Melanite with 126lbs at $3.70. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Journeyman with 126lbs at $12. Looks ready to win. 1st Pick 2 Buckeye Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	172	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 14 at Gold Coast Mm Mdn on January 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Melanite with 126lbs at $3.70. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Journeyman with 126lbs at $12. Looks ready to win.
1	At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at this track Super Mdn on February 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Maquisa carrying 130lbs at $10. Fitter now from the good gate, go close. 2nd Pick 1 Duck For Cover Jockey: Robyn Freeman Trainer: Anthony Mountney J: Robyn Freeman T: Anthony Mountney	92	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at this track Super Mdn on February 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Maquisa carrying 130lbs at $10. Fitter now from the good gate, go close.
3	Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second last of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Champion October 25 over 1 ¼m, 9 len behind Attica with 125lbs at $61. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 10 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Regal Award carrying 128lbs at $16. Gelded over the break and anticipating him to hit the ground running this prep. 3rd Pick 3 Crusader Voyage Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Chris Waller J: Siena Grima T: Chris Waller	146	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second last of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Champion October 25 over 1 ¼m, 9 len behind Attica with 125lbs at $61. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 10 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Regal Award carrying 128lbs at $16. Gelded over the break and anticipating him to hit the ground running this prep.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.