AU - Kembla Grange - Race 3

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

40.1K

VIEW

Verdict

FASHIONABLE (10) made good late ground on debut despite spotting the leaders a big start. Strips fitter and the rise in trip is a big tick. Expect Clark to have her closer and she looks hard to hold out. LUPA CAPITOLINA (13) also found the line strongly in the same race and will appreciate the extra journey. Capable of sharp improvement and shapes as a key danger. LADY GIOVANNA (11) was a solid fourth on debut at Newcastle over 6 ¼f and has since had a quiet trial. Will relish the extra ground and is a live chance. DECALOGUE (5) fought hard when second at Goulburn and looks ready to peak third-up. Can press forward from the wide gate and prove tough to get past. O'SHEAMUS (14) wasn't able to live up to market expectations first-up at Goulburn but is a likely improver worth keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	At debut, settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Artistic Venture with 123lbs at $13. Has ability and it will pay to stick with her. 1st Pick 10 Fashionable Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Tim Clark T: Michael Freedman	110	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At debut, settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Artistic Venture with 123lbs at $13. Has ability and it will pay to stick with her.
13	At debut, from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Artistic Venture carrying 119lbs at $15. Better for that experience, should settle closer and play a major role. 2nd Pick 13 Lupa Capitolina Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Tyler Schiller T: Joseph Pride	88	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At debut, from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Artistic Venture carrying 119lbs at $15. Better for that experience, should settle closer and play a major role.
11	At debut, 4th of 11 at Newcastle Super Mdn on August 26 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Amaretto Bo carrying 121lbs at $14. Ran 3rd in a Rosehill trial over 4 ½f on September 9. One of the obvious threats. 3rd Pick 11 Lady Giovanna Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Chris Waller J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Chris Waller	119	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, 4th of 11 at Newcastle Super Mdn on August 26 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Amaretto Bo carrying 121lbs at $14. Ran 3rd in a Rosehill trial over 4 ½f on September 9. One of the obvious threats.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.