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6:29 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
29.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

INDECISIVE (2) scored over this distance at Wyong two back then nothing went right last start at the same track and trip in a run worth overlooking. Enjoys the run of the race from the inside alley and should be hard to hold out when called upon. HONEY PERFUME (3) scored over 4 ½f at Newcastle two back then turned in last position and made minimal inroads over 5 ½f at Hawkesbury most recently. Worth another chance dropping back to today's journey. INDEFENSIBLE (8) has won two from two third-up so should improve after a couple of plain efforts in town to launch this campaign. EXFORTYTHREE (7) looks well placed here on resumption and can make an impact.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Gail Jeanette silk

Most recently favourite, won by a nose at Dubbo Bm74 July 13 over 5f in soft going defeating Move She Can carrying 120lbs at $3.50. The run before that sat on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on July 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Big Red Tequila with 115lbs at $31. Multiple winner over this distance who can keep the ball rolling.

1st Pick
1

Gail Jeanette

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Angus Stewart

J: Non Runner

T: Angus Stewart

143---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Most recently favourite, won by a nose at Dubbo Bm74 July 13 over 5f in soft going defeating Move She Can carrying 120lbs at $3.50. The run before that sat on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on July 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Big Red Tequila with 115lbs at $31. Multiple winner over this distance who can keep the ball rolling.

2
Indecisive silk

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 11 at Wyong Mid Bm64 on July 4 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Spartus with 134lbs at $4.80. Before that won by 1.2 len at Wyong Mid Cl1 June 7 over 5f in soft going defeating At Her Mercy carrying 130lbs at $5. Finds a nice race and is worth another chance.

2nd Pick
2

Indecisive

Jockey: Keagan Latham

Trainer: John P Thompson

J: Keagan Latham

T: John P Thompson

128---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 11 at Wyong Mid Bm64 on July 4 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Spartus with 134lbs at $4.80. Before that won by 1.2 len at Wyong Mid Cl1 June 7 over 5f in soft going defeating At Her Mercy carrying 130lbs at $5. Finds a nice race and is worth another chance.

3
Honey Perfume silk

Dual acceptor. Most recently eased back early on 6th of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm68 on July 2 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind The Little General carrying 122lbs at $4.80. Before that won by 0.7 len at Newcastle Bm64 June 13 over 4 ½f on a soft track defeating Ces Soirees La carrying 122lbs at $3.70. Great chance to atone coming back to 5f.

3rd Pick
3

Honey Perfume

Jockey: Mitchell Bell

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Mitchell Bell

T: Matthew Smith

128---25%3/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Most recently eased back early on 6th of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm68 on July 2 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind The Little General carrying 122lbs at $4.80. Before that won by 0.7 len at Newcastle Bm64 June 13 over 4 ½f on a soft track defeating Ces Soirees La carrying 122lbs at $3.70. Great chance to atone coming back to 5f.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.