AU - Kembla Grange - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

28.8K

VIEW

Verdict

OCTA DE LAGO (2) improving gelding who can keep the winning momentum going from the good gate. Snagged back from the sticky gate before circling the field with a tenacious victory over 6f at Gosford. Gets a much better set up for this and looks the one to beat again. INOUE (1) back to his right grade today after failing to get through the heavy (8) going when a tiring seventh over 5 ½f at Rosehill in BM78 grade. Comes here in peak condition and has the talent to go win this. TURNED DOWN (5) underrated Bathurst gelding looking for this trip second-up. Covered plenty of ground in the run on resumption, with a respectable sixth over 5 ½f in the Gilgandra Town Plate. Wadick sticks and has the ability to take this out. CAN'T TOUCH THIS (6) on the quick backup after taking control early before being swamped late by Miss Busslinger when fourth over 6 ¾f at Beaumont (Newcastle). Winning apprentice goes back on and will give them something to catch again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.0 len at Gosford Cg&E Bm64 January 9 over 6f defeating Hydrometer with 131lbs at $1.60. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm64 on December 13 over 6 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Duvana with 129lbs at $1.85. Confidence is high and can play a major role again. 1st Pick 2 Octa De Lago Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Richard Litt J: Dylan Gibbons T: Richard Litt	158	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.0 len at Gosford Cg&E Bm64 January 9 over 6f defeating Hydrometer with 131lbs at $1.60. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm64 on December 13 over 6 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Duvana with 129lbs at $1.85. Confidence is high and can play a major role again.
1	Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 8 at Rosehill 4yo+ Bm78 on January 17 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 7 len behind Bev's Nine carrying 120lbs at $16. The run before that 5th of 9 at Randwick Cg&E Bm78 on December 27 over 6f, 3 len behind Livin' Thing with 121lbs at $51. Shapes as a key runner with the claim in this grade. 2nd Pick 1 Inoue Jockey: Jace Mcmurray Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Jace Mcmurray T: Peter Snowden	176	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 8 at Rosehill 4yo+ Bm78 on January 17 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 7 len behind Bev's Nine carrying 120lbs at $16. The run before that 5th of 9 at Randwick Cg&E Bm78 on December 27 over 6f, 3 len behind Livin' Thing with 121lbs at $51. Shapes as a key runner with the claim in this grade.
8	At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a long-neck at this track Cl1 January 10 over 6 ½f defeating Captivating Tycoon with 123lbs at $21. The start before that from last on the turn second last of 7 at Canberra Cl2 on December 28 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind November Air with 122lbs at $7.50. Will give backers a sight. 3rd Pick 8 Deep Emotion Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John P Thompson J: Non Runner T: John P Thompson	116	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a long-neck at this track Cl1 January 10 over 6 ½f defeating Captivating Tycoon with 123lbs at $21. The start before that from last on the turn second last of 7 at Canberra Cl2 on December 28 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind November Air with 122lbs at $7.50. Will give backers a sight.

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