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6:47 AM

AU - Ipswich - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
20.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SCRUMPTIOUS (12) switched from a top Sydney stable and didn't do a bad job at Doomben, well-supported off a 28-day freshen. Her Sydney metro form prior makes good reading, and Ben Thompson sticks aboard. She will jump and run from an inside barrier and has the numbers to win. MATAWAI (6) resumes and has switched from a leading Victorian stable. She's raced well in better than this and has won 2/4 fresh, and 3x over this distance. Owns a solid trial and will go close if the money comes. GUAC ON (11) has looked in need of racing but will be sharper stepping up to a longer sprint. Has the early speed to use the inside gate to advantage and weight relief this grade. His best would see him in the finish. FORT WILLIAM (10) resumed in a 65 at the Gold Coast, beaten 2.2L when expected to need the outing. Proven second up and has pieces of form that would see him well in the mix. Maps well and carries 9lbs less today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Scrumptious silk

At the latest run 7th of 10 at Doomben Bm70 on April 1 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Eye Of The Eagle carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that second last in a small field at Warwick Farm 3&4yo Bm64 on March 4 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Just Maz with 131lbs at $4.20. Well placed to win.

1st Pick
12

Scrumptious

Jockey: Ben Thompson

Trainer: Todd Pollard

J: Ben Thompson

T: Todd Pollard

192---25%3/1

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 10 at Doomben Bm70 on April 1 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Eye Of The Eagle carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that second last in a small field at Warwick Farm 3&4yo Bm64 on March 4 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Just Maz with 131lbs at $4.20. Well placed to win.

6
Matawai silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation fourth in a small field at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 February 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Butternut Princess with 127lbs at $6.50. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Regal Tycoon with 129lbs at $5. Has the ability and the betting will be key.

2nd Pick
6

Matawai

Jockey: Tiffani Brooker

Trainer: Jeff Dunn

J: Tiffani Brooker

T: Jeff Dunn

101---20%4/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation fourth in a small field at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 February 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Butternut Princess with 127lbs at $6.50. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Regal Tycoon with 129lbs at $5. Has the ability and the betting will be key.

11
Guac On silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up led to the turn then faded 8th of 10 at this track Cl2 on March 26 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capital Heart carrying 130lbs at $5. Last start 4th of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm68 on April 8 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Moulin Miss carrying 126lbs at $9. Improver with top-three claims.

3rd Pick
11

Guac On

Jockey: Damien Thornton

Trainer: Kelly Schweida

J: Damien Thornton

T: Kelly Schweida

127---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up led to the turn then faded 8th of 10 at this track Cl2 on March 26 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capital Heart carrying 130lbs at $5. Last start 4th of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm68 on April 8 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Moulin Miss carrying 126lbs at $9. Improver with top-three claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.