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5:27 AM

AU - Ipswich - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8.3f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SWEET PRETENDER (7) has patchy form but did have excuses last time at the Sunny Coast. Her minor placing three back at Ipswich reads favourably for this, where she was doing her best work late. Expecting a similar effort this time. KHARIF (6) has been ticking along well since knocking off his maiden at Port Macquarie on 15 Aug. Doesn't strike a deep contest this time and only needs to hold his form to be fighting out the finish. PIERTAGA (10) is knocking on the door, unlucky not to strike through last time when missing narrowly. Gets in low at the weights on the quick back-up and is drawn cosy. Can play a role in the finish. THE TORQUE FACTOR (2) couldn't meet expectations last time but should be at his top now and can be kept safe for a minor spot.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Sweet Pretender silk

Has the strongest overall profile despite the ugly last-start margin, with her Sunshine Coast run marred by an awkward start, checks and being forced wide before finishing well beaten by 22 lengths. She had also been held up when favourite at Toowoomba two back. Blinkers go on and her distance record makes her the clear winning hope.

1st Pick
7

Sweet Pretender

Jockey: Brandon Lerena

Trainer: William Kropp

J: Brandon Lerena

T: William Kropp

159---23%7/2

Analysis

Has the strongest overall profile despite the ugly last-start margin, with her Sunshine Coast run marred by an awkward start, checks and being forced wide before finishing well beaten by 22 lengths. She had also been held up when favourite at Toowoomba two back. Blinkers go on and her distance record makes her the clear winning hope.

6
Kharif silk

Has been close enough in two recent Class 1 runs to be highly competitive in this grade, finishing sixth at Sunshine Coast when beaten two and a half lengths and sixth at Grafton when beaten just over three lengths. Must finish off cleaner than last start, but this sets up well.

2nd Pick
6

Kharif

Jockey: Boris Thornton

Trainer: Declan Maher

J: Boris Thornton

T: Declan Maher

106---13%7/1

Analysis

Has been close enough in two recent Class 1 runs to be highly competitive in this grade, finishing sixth at Sunshine Coast when beaten two and a half lengths and sixth at Grafton when beaten just over three lengths. Must finish off cleaner than last start, but this sets up well.

10
Piertaga silk

Went within a long neck of winning a Benchmark 55 at Gatton last week after tracking the speed and being run down late by Water Lad. That followed a strong Warwick second when she came from a hopeless position to place. Clear place chance with each-way appeal.

3rd Pick
10

Piertaga

Jockey: Ashley Butler

Trainer: Ryan Tyrell

J: Ashley Butler

T: Ryan Tyrell

116---20%4/1

Analysis

Went within a long neck of winning a Benchmark 55 at Gatton last week after tracking the speed and being run down late by Water Lad. That followed a strong Warwick second when she came from a hopeless position to place. Clear place chance with each-way appeal.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.