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6:38 AM

AU - Ipswich - Race 9

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Open race to close out the card. MOON SWEEPER (12) is resuming here but the form he showed in his first preparation was good enough to feature in a race like this. Winning rider Thornton returns to the saddle and can run a big race while fresh. SIMPLY EXCELS (7) boasts a win over this course and distance and has been racing in a purple patch of form this campaign. Only needs some luck from the sticky draw to play a major role in the finish. MAYNE (11) strips fitter second-up from the spell and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Cannot be ignored. I AM A MARVEL (6) has been right there in recent efforts and will be rock-hard fit for this. Shapes as a leading contender. POSEIDON RULER (17) best of the rest from the Munce barn.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Moon Sweeper silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at Eagle Farm in the G3 Grand Prix December 14 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Beau Dazzler with 126lbs at $4. At his first start favourite, won by 2.25 len Lismore Ctry Mdn October 20 over 6f defeating Irish Gift with 126lbs at $2.10. Everything points to a positive return.

1st Pick
12

Moon Sweeper

Jockey: Damien Thornton

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Damien Thornton

T: Matthew Dunn

88---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at Eagle Farm in the G3 Grand Prix December 14 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Beau Dazzler with 126lbs at $4. At his first start favourite, won by 2.25 len Lismore Ctry Mdn October 20 over 6f defeating Irish Gift with 126lbs at $2.10. Everything points to a positive return.

7
Simply Excels silk

At the latest run won by a nose at Doomben Cl1 April 23 over 6f on a soft track defeating Pre Eminence with 129lbs at $8.50. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Doomben Cl2 on April 4 over 6 ¾f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Antonito carrying 122lbs at $3.50. Nicely placed and expected to go well.

2nd Pick
7

Simply Excels

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tony Gollan

J: Non Runner

T: Tony Gollan

158---17%

Scratched

Analysis

At the latest run won by a nose at Doomben Cl1 April 23 over 6f on a soft track defeating Pre Eminence with 129lbs at $8.50. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Doomben Cl2 on April 4 over 6 ¾f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Antonito carrying 122lbs at $3.50. Nicely placed and expected to go well.

11
Mayne silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at this track Cg&E Bm65 on April 30 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Impendor carrying 131lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2.25 len at Randwick Kensington 3yo Mdn September 11 over 6 ½f defeating California Bay carrying 127lbs at $4. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.

3rd Pick
11

Mayne

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Non Runner

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

132---11%

Scratched

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at this track Cg&E Bm65 on April 30 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Impendor carrying 131lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2.25 len at Randwick Kensington 3yo Mdn September 11 over 6 ½f defeating California Bay carrying 127lbs at $4. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.