AU - Ipswich - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

20.1K

VIEW

Verdict

AUTUMN HEIR (6) ran his best race, narrowly beaten over 1 ³/16m at Ballina. Peaks for this, and Ryan Maloney is a key jockey switch. In good hands and can go one better. KALKANLI (3) is an improver who raced handy beaten a nose in a 60 this track and trip. Maps well enough and won't have to improve much to feature. VERMILION KIRIN (1) is a leader and followed a nice effort over 1 ?m at the Gold Coast with an easy win at Beaudesert over 1 ½m, as expected. He raced as the favourite here last time this trip in a 65 but folded up badly. Prepared to forgive that, and he will roll over and control the race. Has a handy 4lbs claim in easier and is a chance to bounce. HURRICANE ROSIE (7) missed a nose this distance range at Grafton three back and hasn't featured in better class since. Better suited and the inside barrier will advantage.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Ballina Cl1-Sw on April 14 over 1 ³/16m, 0.8 len behind O'caldino carrying 130lbs at $3.90. The start before that 3rd of 11 at Grafton Bm58 on March 30 over 1 ¹/16m, 4 len behind Maravich carrying 128lbs at $5. Not far away last start. Gets a leading hoop and is ready to win. 1st Pick 6 Autumn Heir Jockey: Ryan Maloney Trainer: Kris Lees J: Ryan Maloney T: Kris Lees	117	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Ballina Cl1-Sw on April 14 over 1 ³/16m, 0.8 len behind O'caldino carrying 130lbs at $3.90. The start before that 3rd of 11 at Grafton Bm58 on March 30 over 1 ¹/16m, 4 len behind Maravich carrying 128lbs at $5. Not far away last start. Gets a leading hoop and is ready to win.
3	Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track Bm60 on April 16 over 1 5/16m, nose behind Sacred Bull carrying 130lbs at $18. The race before that second last of 14 at this track Bm65 on April 6 over 1 5/16m, 7 len behind Dream Thinker carrying 125lbs at $21. Tough to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Kalkanli Jockey: Boris Thornton Trainer: Marcus Wilson J: Boris Thornton T: Marcus Wilson	113	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track Bm60 on April 16 over 1 5/16m, nose behind Sacred Bull carrying 130lbs at $18. The race before that second last of 14 at this track Bm65 on April 6 over 1 5/16m, 7 len behind Dream Thinker carrying 125lbs at $21. Tough to beat.
1	At the latest run faded in the straight 8th of 14 at this track Bm65 on April 6 over 1 5/16m, 6 len behind Dream Thinker carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at Beaudesert Bm60 March 12 over 1 ½m in soft going defeating Will It Snow carrying 132lbs at $2.90. Better than last start suggests, he can bounce back. 3rd Pick 1 Vermilion Kirin Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lindsay Gough J: Non Runner T: Lindsay Gough	157	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis At the latest run faded in the straight 8th of 14 at this track Bm65 on April 6 over 1 5/16m, 6 len behind Dream Thinker carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at Beaudesert Bm60 March 12 over 1 ½m in soft going defeating Will It Snow carrying 132lbs at $2.90. Better than last start suggests, he can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.