AU - Ipswich - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 5

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

TERRACOTTA ROSE (4) resumes and makes her stable debut for the Matthews camp. Showed positive signs down in Vic and has been fitted with a stylish trial win. Can hit the ground running over the 4f burner. SIZZLEIST (2) is the clear danger after ending last campaign with a pillar-to-post CL1 win at the Sunshine Coast before the break. Has trialled sharply in readiness and is drawn to bounce straight to the front. Expecting her to prove hard to reel in. SHELLY'S ACE (8) is race fit, drawn to get every chance and comes off a solid fourth at Toowoomba. MISS MCLAREN (1) is a lightly raced 5yo resuming and has shown positive signs. Has trialled twice, is already a winner at this track and trip, and looms as a danger fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Returns from a lengthy spell after four months off, and the easy Toowoomba Inner Track trial is a strong pointer for her first Queensland run. She ended last campaign with a plain tenth at Ballarat Synthetic, weakening after travelling close enough, but her Werribee fifth in 2yo+ Benchmark 62 grade before that was much better. The 4f is new, but her best Victorian form makes her the one to beat. 1st Pick 4 Terracotta Rose Jockey: Karl Zechner Trainer: Stephen Matthews J: Karl Zechner T: Stephen Matthews	99	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after four months off, and the easy Toowoomba Inner Track trial is a strong pointer for her first Queensland run. She ended last campaign with a plain tenth at Ballarat Synthetic, weakening after travelling close enough, but her Werribee fifth in 2yo+ Benchmark 62 grade before that was much better. The 4f is new, but her best Victorian form makes her the one to beat.
2	Returns from a lengthy spell after five months off, and her last campaign reads well for this. She won a 3yo+ Class 1 at Sunshine Coast, beating Booya Boy by just under a length after jumping awkwardly and leading, following a narrow Class 1 second at Albury as favourite. Consistent mare with the right profile to fight this out. 2nd Pick 2 Sizzleist Jockey: Angela Jones Trainer: Billy Healey J: Angela Jones T: Billy Healey	112	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after five months off, and her last campaign reads well for this. She won a 3yo+ Class 1 at Sunshine Coast, beating Booya Boy by just under a length after jumping awkwardly and leading, following a narrow Class 1 second at Albury as favourite. Consistent mare with the right profile to fight this out.
8	Returns from a five-week let-up after a better fourth at Toowoomba, beaten two and a half lengths despite being unwanted in the market, having led into the lane before tiring late. Her previous second-last in Benchmark 58 grade at this venue was plain, though she laid out around the home turn. Win record is thin, but she has a solid place profile. 3rd Pick 8 Shelly's Ace Jockey: Tiffani Brooker Trainer: Taryn Churchill J: Tiffani Brooker T: Taryn Churchill	86	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after a better fourth at Toowoomba, beaten two and a half lengths despite being unwanted in the market, having led into the lane before tiring late. Her previous second-last in Benchmark 58 grade at this venue was plain, though she laid out around the home turn. Win record is thin, but she has a solid place profile.

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Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.