AU - Ipswich - Race 2

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

8.3f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

25.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DUBIAS MISS (7) is unlucky to still be a maiden placing in all three starts to date and this is not an overly strong contest. Has placed two from two over this course and distance and again gets the deadly Gollan/Jones combination. Only needs some luck from the sticky draw to be playing a major role in the outcome. PEAR BELLINI (8) has placed at the past couple including one over this track and trip two back. Must be respected from the Waller yard. Former Victorian THINK LIKE PADDY (5) is having his first run for the new stable but should find this easier than what he faced down south. Shapes as a leading contender. FOREVER FORTUNE (2) placed here at the latest effort and draws favourably from the inside marble. Top-three commodity with Maloney on board. STROMBOLI DELIGHT (11) has put back-to-back placings together and may earn some minor money again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 24 over 1 m, in the wet, head behind Zou Big Boy with 122lbs at $1.85. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 13 at this track 3yo Mdn on April 9 over 1 m, slow going 0.7 len behind Lovey Dovey with 129lbs at $4. Rates highly and a bold showing is expected again. 1st Pick 7 Dubias Miss Jockey: Angela Jones Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Angela Jones T: Tony Gollan	248	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 24 over 1 m, in the wet, head behind Zou Big Boy with 122lbs at $1.85. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 13 at this track 3yo Mdn on April 9 over 1 m, slow going 0.7 len behind Lovey Dovey with 129lbs at $4. Rates highly and a bold showing is expected again.
8	At the latest run came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Sunshine Coast Mdn on April 20 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Ranger Enjay carrying 128lbs at $10. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn on March 21 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, head behind Shabooh Shalaa with 125lbs at $5.50. Steps out over an extraf and must be considered. 2nd Pick 8 Pear Bellini Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor Trainer: Chris Waller J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor T: Chris Waller	108	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Sunshine Coast Mdn on April 20 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Ranger Enjay carrying 128lbs at $10. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn on March 21 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, head behind Shabooh Shalaa with 125lbs at $5.50. Steps out over an extraf and must be considered.
5	Returns from a 48-day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Prince Pinot carrying 130lbs at $3.90. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 5th of 13 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.4 len behind Matrimonial with 130lbs at $17. Making headway. Further improvement expected. 3rd Pick 5 Think Like Paddy Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Damien Thornton T: Matthew Dunn	113	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Returns from a 48-day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Prince Pinot carrying 130lbs at $3.90. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 5th of 13 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.4 len behind Matrimonial with 130lbs at $17. Making headway. Further improvement expected.

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