AU - Hobart - Race 9

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

83.8K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

DURAZZO (3) is flying right now, and is eyeing up a hat-trick, coming off a narrow win over 7f in the LR Conquering Stakes at Launceston 18 days ago. He should settle just off the pace and is now ready for the step up to a mile. On top again. JUST CRUISIN' (7) finished strongly last start, missing by only a neck over 7f at Launceston behind the top pick. The extra furlong is ideal, and he can turn the tables. FIRST ACCUSED (2) jumped well from the inside to lead last time, and he only gave way late, finishing third over 7f in the LR Conquering Stakes, behind the top 2 picks. He will again take some catching. BANK MAUR (1) showed early speed and raced handy before fading to finish well back against most of these last time out. There will be no more fitness excuses third up from a spell, and a form reversal will be no surprise. ASHFALL (6) strips fitter second up, and he is worth keeping an eye on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by a neck at Launceston LR Conquering Stak December 10 over 7f defeating Just Cruisin' carrying 130lbs at $1.40. The race before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at Launceston LR Nwmrkt Hcp November 21 over 6f defeating Just Cruisin' carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Hard to fault and can go on with it. 1st Pick 3 Durazzo Jockey: Kelvin Sanderson Trainer: Barry Campbell J: Kelvin Sanderson T: Barry Campbell	265	-	-	-	67%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by a neck at Launceston LR Conquering Stak December 10 over 7f defeating Just Cruisin' carrying 130lbs at $1.40. The race before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at Launceston LR Nwmrkt Hcp November 21 over 6f defeating Just Cruisin' carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Hard to fault and can go on with it.
7	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 14 at Launceston in the LR Nwmrkt Hcp on November 21 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Durazzo with 119lbs at $11. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Launceston in the LR Conquering Stak on December 10 over 7f, neck behind Durazzo carrying 130lbs at $8. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 7 Just Cruisin' Jockey: Carleen Hefel Trainer: Kelvin Hamilton J: Carleen Hefel T: Kelvin Hamilton	149	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 14 at Launceston in the LR Nwmrkt Hcp on November 21 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Durazzo with 119lbs at $11. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Launceston in the LR Conquering Stak on December 10 over 7f, neck behind Durazzo carrying 130lbs at $8. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it.
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 8th of 14 at Launceston in the LR Nwmrkt Hcp on November 21 over 6f, 3 len behind Durazzo carrying 129lbs at $21. Last start led but faded 3rd of 12 at Launceston in the LR Conquering Stak on December 10 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Durazzo with 130lbs at $16. Rates highly. In form and expected to measure up again. 3rd Pick 2 First Accused Jockey: Codi Jordan Trainer: Glenn Stevenson J: Codi Jordan T: Glenn Stevenson	180	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 8th of 14 at Launceston in the LR Nwmrkt Hcp on November 21 over 6f, 3 len behind Durazzo carrying 129lbs at $21. Last start led but faded 3rd of 12 at Launceston in the LR Conquering Stak on December 10 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Durazzo with 130lbs at $16. Rates highly. In form and expected to measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.