AU - Hobart - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.4K

VIEW

Verdict

GENUINE LADY (4) was a determined maiden winner last time out, leading and scoring by half a length over 7f at Launceston. Nicely drawn and keeps the leading hoop. Gives herself every chance and won't have to improve much to take the next step. BLOOMING EDGE (3) has been racing over longer and comes back 1f on a 3-week return. Has ability and no surprise to see him hit the line hard. ARGYLL DIAMOND (5) has pieces of form good enough and deserves another chance over the longer sprint. Will race forward and should give a sight. ALPINE HONEY (1) comes back from the synthetic on a 34-day freshen and has been kept up to the mark with a turf trial. Can't be dismissed on his best form. WILD NIGHTS (9) may be the best of the remainder.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 0.5 len at Launceston Mdn-Sw March 20 over 7f defeating Kion's Kingdom carrying 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Devonport Synthetic Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6 ¾f, 5 len behind Rippington with 121lbs at $3.10. Worth following up. 1st Pick 4 Genuine Lady Jockey: Erica Byrne Burke Trainer: Monica Ryan J: Erica Byrne Burke T: Monica Ryan	132	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 0.5 len at Launceston Mdn-Sw March 20 over 7f defeating Kion's Kingdom carrying 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Devonport Synthetic Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6 ¾f, 5 len behind Rippington with 121lbs at $3.10. Worth following up.
3	Last start 6th of 10 at this track Mdn/Cl1-Sw on March 22 over 1m, 8 len behind Vixen's Moon with 130lbs at $5. The run before that 5th of 14 at this track Mdn/Cl1-Sw on February 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Kiss My Rock carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Has ability and can run a forward race. 2nd Pick 3 Blooming Edge Jockey: David Pires Trainer: Rodney Seymour J: David Pires T: Rodney Seymour	119	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start 6th of 10 at this track Mdn/Cl1-Sw on March 22 over 1m, 8 len behind Vixen's Moon with 130lbs at $5. The run before that 5th of 14 at this track Mdn/Cl1-Sw on February 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Kiss My Rock carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Has ability and can run a forward race.
5	Most recently 6th of 10 at this track Cl1 on March 22 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Royal Detective with 126lbs at $9. The start before that 8th of 12 at this track Cl1 on February 8 over 5 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Magnolia Sky with 120lbs at $16. Major player. 3rd Pick 5 Argyll Diamond Jockey: Bulent Muhcu Trainer: Rhonda Hall J: Bulent Muhcu T: Rhonda Hall	131	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 10 at this track Cl1 on March 22 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Royal Detective with 126lbs at $9. The start before that 8th of 12 at this track Cl1 on February 8 over 5 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Magnolia Sky with 120lbs at $16. Major player.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.