AU - Hobart - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

13.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race with a host of win chances. Many of these struggle to win though so leaning to JEDD'S JET (5) who perhaps has the most upside. Off the mark with a strong win second-up and looks ideally suited by the mile now. Worth following up. PURR SEFANEE (12) has missed the frame at each run this time in but in each case has been on the winners heels. This suits and gets chance. SIR JAG (2) is racing in great form winning two of last three. Can measure up again. COASTAL STRIKE (6) battled on well to hold second behind Sir Jag and will strip much fitter. Could well turn the tables. CARNELIAN ROCK (11) is going better than it looks and will be running on hard.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on May 24 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Geegees Ace carrying 120lbs at $26. Second-up was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a long-neck at this track Mdn-Sw June 7 over 6f on a soft track defeating Sorell Eagles carrying 120lbs at $19. Has upside and looks suited by the mile now. 1st Pick 5 Jedd's Jet Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: John Keys J: Sam Kennedy T: John Keys	95	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on May 24 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Geegees Ace carrying 120lbs at $26. Second-up was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a long-neck at this track Mdn-Sw June 7 over 6f on a soft track defeating Sorell Eagles carrying 120lbs at $19. Has upside and looks suited by the mile now.
12	Most recently faded in the straight 8th of 13 at this track Cl2 on June 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Sir Jag with 115lbs at $9.50. The run before that led to the turn then faded 9th of 11 at this track Bm60 on June 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Quafftide carrying 119lbs at $9. Form much better than it looks and should run well this line up. 2nd Pick 12 Purr Sefanee Jockey: Christopher Pang Trainer: Bradley Franklin J: Christopher Pang T: Bradley Franklin	89	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently faded in the straight 8th of 13 at this track Cl2 on June 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Sir Jag with 115lbs at $9.50. The run before that led to the turn then faded 9th of 11 at this track Bm60 on June 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Quafftide carrying 119lbs at $9. Form much better than it looks and should run well this line up.
2	At the latest run won by a long-neck at this track Cl2 June 21 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Coastal Strike carrying 123lbs at $7.50. The start before that 5th of 11 at this track Bm60 on June 7 over 1m, slow going 1.3 len behind Quafftide with 127lbs at $6.50. Racing well and can measure up again. 3rd Pick 2 Sir Jag Jockey: Anthony Darmanin Trainer: John Luttrell J: Anthony Darmanin T: John Luttrell	108	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At the latest run won by a long-neck at this track Cl2 June 21 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Coastal Strike carrying 123lbs at $7.50. The start before that 5th of 11 at this track Bm60 on June 7 over 1m, slow going 1.3 len behind Quafftide with 127lbs at $6.50. Racing well and can measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.