AU - Hawkesbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

31.8K

VIEW

Verdict

THE IRON STAR (4) improving gelding who saves his best for the home track. Won over this track and trip two-back, then jumped in class on the heavy (9) surface with a disappointing sixth over 1 ?m at Randwick in BM78 class. Gets the right tempo today and finds a much easier assignment. Go close. VIEWPOINT (3) desperate for a firmer surface and extra ground. Failed to make an impression on the heavy track when sixth over 7 ½f at Rosehill in BM72 class. Has the talent to score a well-deserved victory. INCEPTION (9) racing well and no excuses here from the good barrier. Took control early from the outside gate with a gritty second over 1m at Wyong. Takes control early and has claims on his best figures. LUGARNO (1) in need of the run first-up with a battling sixth over 6 ¾f at Wyong. Proven second-up and stays in the calculations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 10 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm78 on July 11 over 1m, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind All Kinds Of Folk with 117lbs at $11. Before that settled well back, won by 0.7 len at this track Cl1-Sw June 23 over 1m in soft going defeating Portsmouth with 130lbs at $7.50. Rates highly and expected to do much better. 1st Pick 4 The Iron Star Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Marc Chevalier J: Tyler Schiller T: Marc Chevalier	148	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 10 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm78 on July 11 over 1m, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind All Kinds Of Folk with 117lbs at $11. Before that settled well back, won by 0.7 len at this track Cl1-Sw June 23 over 1m in soft going defeating Portsmouth with 130lbs at $7.50. Rates highly and expected to do much better.
9	Form hard to fault. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on July 23 over 1m, on a slow track, nose behind Dubai Warrior carrying 123lbs at $7.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Scone Bm66 on July 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Arapawa with 133lbs at $11. Rates highly and a win looks imminent. 2nd Pick 9 Inception Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Nathan Doyle J: Ashley Morgan T: Nathan Doyle	130	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on July 23 over 1m, on a slow track, nose behind Dubai Warrior carrying 123lbs at $7.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Scone Bm66 on July 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Arapawa with 133lbs at $11. Rates highly and a win looks imminent.
3	Last start ran second last of 7 at Rosehill 3yo Bm72 on July 18 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Arapawa with 123lbs at $16. The start before that eased back early on 4th of 7 at Rosehill 3yo Bm72 on July 4 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Hello Captain with 125lbs at $71. Best form puts him right in this. 3rd Pick 3 Viewpoint Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Dylan Gibbons T: Nacim Dilmi	142	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Last start ran second last of 7 at Rosehill 3yo Bm72 on July 18 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Arapawa with 123lbs at $16. The start before that eased back early on 4th of 7 at Rosehill 3yo Bm72 on July 4 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Hello Captain with 125lbs at $71. Best form puts him right in this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.