AU - Grafton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 6

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BOOYA BOY (2) was very good two back at the Sunshine Coast when beaten under a length over 5f. Wasn't the best away and failed to recover last start at Ipswich over 5 ½f. Finds the right race to bounce back to form. PERMISSION GRANTED (1) was just beaten in a thriller two back over this course and distance then really struggled on a heavy track at Ballina a fortnight ago in a run worth overlooking. Perfectly drawn to make amends. THE DUX NUTS (4) gave away a big start on the corner then stormed home to miss narrowly over 5f at Tamworth recently. Sure to prove tough to hold out over this more suitable journey. RELEASETHEWOLVES (11) went within a whisker of pulling off a boil-over win over 6 ¼f at Taree last start. Worth following now that she is back in form. The lightly raced RED CHICK (5) will find this easier than her last start fifth at Gosford. Should give a good account.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently eased back early on 6th of 9 at Ipswich 0 - 62 on June 25 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Everybody Rise carrying 128lbs at $7. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl1-Sw on June 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Sizzleist with 131lbs at $7. Should be at peak fitness now and is a winning chance. 1st Pick 2 Booya Boy Jockey: Bella Youngberry Trainer: Adam Campton J: Bella Youngberry T: Adam Campton	165	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently eased back early on 6th of 9 at Ipswich 0 - 62 on June 25 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Everybody Rise carrying 128lbs at $7. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl1-Sw on June 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Sizzleist with 131lbs at $7. Should be at peak fitness now and is a winning chance.
1	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Ballina Bm58 on June 21 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 13 len behind Warrior Bae with 130lbs at $2.60. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at this track Bm58 on June 6 over 6f, slow going nose behind Enhance carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Better than the last effort and worth another chance in firmer ground. 2nd Pick 1 Permission Granted Jockey: Jake Bayliss Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Jake Bayliss T: Matthew Dunn	148	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Ballina Bm58 on June 21 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 13 len behind Warrior Bae with 130lbs at $2.60. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at this track Bm58 on June 6 over 6f, slow going nose behind Enhance carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Better than the last effort and worth another chance in firmer ground.
4	Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Tamworth Ctry Bm58 on June 26 over 5f, slow going neck behind Miss Mercy carrying 126lbs at $9.50. The race before that faded in the straight 8th of 10 at Tamworth Cl1 on June 6 over 7f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Sirleaf carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Rock hard fit and looks tough to beat. 3rd Pick 4 The Dux Nuts Jockey: Grady Spokes Trainer: David Hatch J: Grady Spokes T: David Hatch	127	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Tamworth Ctry Bm58 on June 26 over 5f, slow going neck behind Miss Mercy carrying 126lbs at $9.50. The race before that faded in the straight 8th of 10 at Tamworth Cl1 on June 6 over 7f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Sirleaf carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Rock hard fit and looks tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.