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6:20 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
19.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VETOED (11) had genuine excuses from poor gates at her last two outings and gets a better set up for this with Spokes' claim. Each way player sure to be thereabouts. VENDEMMIA (4) much better performance second up when he ploughed through the heavy going to finish third over 6 ¼f at Ballina. Adept in all conditions and anticipating another big run. WARRIOR BAE (1) will relish the good tempo in this easier race after warming up late to run sixth over 6f at this track in BM66 grade. Look for him to swoop late. BELLARATA (8) made a good return when a close second at Murwillumbah last start. in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Autumngirl silk

Most recently 6th of 12 in a Cl1 at Gold Coast on August 28 over 7f, 3 len behind Brutal Miss with 121lbs at $4.60. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 in a F&M Cl3-Sw at Doomben on August 15 over 6 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Celtic Sin with 119lbs at $11. Winkers go on and ticks plenty of boxes today.

1st Pick
7

Autumngirl

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Adam Campton

J: Non Runner

T: Adam Campton

190---23%7/2

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 12 in a Cl1 at Gold Coast on August 28 over 7f, 3 len behind Brutal Miss with 121lbs at $4.60. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 in a F&M Cl3-Sw at Doomben on August 15 over 6 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Celtic Sin with 119lbs at $11. Winkers go on and ticks plenty of boxes today.

11
Vetoed silk

At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 in a Bm58 at Ballina on August 11 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 2 len behind A Touch From Fayt carrying 123lbs at $8. Before that 8th of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at this track on July 15 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Critical Time with 128lbs at $17. Great chance to atone.

2nd Pick
11

Vetoed

Jockey: Grady Spokes

Trainer: Dennis Dwane

J: Grady Spokes

T: Dennis Dwane

85---8%13/1

Analysis

At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 in a Bm58 at Ballina on August 11 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 2 len behind A Touch From Fayt carrying 123lbs at $8. Before that 8th of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at this track on July 15 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Critical Time with 128lbs at $17. Great chance to atone.

4
Vendemmia silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up got back early 6th of 12 in a Cg&E Bm58 at this track on July 19 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Beer Baron with 132lbs at $21. Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Bm58 at Ballina on August 11 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 1.1 len behind A Touch From Fayt carrying 132lbs at $12. Expect a bold showing again.

3rd Pick
4

Vendemmia

Jockey: Ben Looker

Trainer: Ethan Ensby

J: Ben Looker

T: Ethan Ensby

88---3%33/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up got back early 6th of 12 in a Cg&E Bm58 at this track on July 19 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Beer Baron with 132lbs at $21. Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Bm58 at Ballina on August 11 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 1.1 len behind A Touch From Fayt carrying 132lbs at $12. Expect a bold showing again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.