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5:50 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8.1f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TEXAS FIREBALL (1) made a pleasing return to racing last start at Eagle Farm, working home late to get for third in a Class 5 over 7f. Big class drop today and he is unbeaten at Grafton. This looks a lovely assignment. NEXT PAY RUN (10) scored with something in hand over 7f here two back. Got a bit fizzy pre-race and performed poorly last time out at Newcastle (metro). Unproven at the mile but if she gets the trip she is good enough to win. BOLD HOI HO (4) backs up five days after a last-to-first win over 7f at Ballina. Goes up a level today but he has improvement to come at just the third run back. HE'S A COPY BOY (9) has been very competitive in open company races of late. Distance specialist who enjoys racing at Grafton and looks well in at the weights. CREDIT CONTROLLER (8) continues to race well but is now around 15 months without a win. A must for exotics players.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Texas Fireball silk

Second run back. First-up after five months made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Eagle Farm Cl5 on November 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Seneschal with 123lbs at $5. Previously second-up came from the tail of the field 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Cl4 on November 28 over 6 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Weigall Tiger carrying 120lbs at $8.50. Back in good shape and is sure to make his presence felt.

1st Pick
1

Texas Fireball

Jockey: Jett Newman

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Jett Newman

T: Matthew Dunn

185---37%7/4

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Eagle Farm Cl5 on November 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Seneschal with 123lbs at $5. Previously second-up came from the tail of the field 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Cl4 on November 28 over 6 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Weigall Tiger carrying 120lbs at $8.50. Back in good shape and is sure to make his presence felt.

10
Next Pay Run silk

Last start raced on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at Newcastle Highway-C3 on November 15 over 1m, 8 len behind Upwardly Mobile carrying 127lbs at $7.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at this track Ctry Cl2 October 21 over 7f defeating Hypothermia with 127lbs at $3.70. Great chance to atone.

2nd Pick
10

Next Pay Run

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Andrew Parramore

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Andrew Parramore

121---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start raced on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at Newcastle Highway-C3 on November 15 over 1m, 8 len behind Upwardly Mobile carrying 127lbs at $7.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at this track Ctry Cl2 October 21 over 7f defeating Hypothermia with 127lbs at $3.70. Great chance to atone.

4
Bold Hoi Ho silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at Kempsey Kempseycup on November 7 over 7 ¼f, 2.25 len behind Swift Charm carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Second run from a spell ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.5 len at Ballina Bm66 November 25 over 7f defeating Smart Recognition with 127lbs at $12. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat on the quick back-up.

3rd Pick
4

Bold Hoi Ho

Jockey: Grady Spokes

Trainer: Sally Taylor

J: Grady Spokes

T: Sally Taylor

121---8%12/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at Kempsey Kempseycup on November 7 over 7 ¼f, 2.25 len behind Swift Charm carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Second run from a spell ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.5 len at Ballina Bm66 November 25 over 7f defeating Smart Recognition with 127lbs at $12. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat on the quick back-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.