AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

5.9f

Quality Handicap

Turf

SOFT 6

20.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Star Northern Rivers sprinter MY MUM'S TOYBOY (1) returned from a six-month spell with a devastating win over 5f at Port Macquarie last start despite a crushing 62kgs. Carries the same weight today and won't find this any harder. The winner of six from nine at Grafton and is a huge chance to make it seven. THE WOLF (5) looks hardest to beat after chasing home My Mum's Toyboy at Port Macquarie three weeks ago. That followed an eight-week let-up so he strips fitter and gets a 4.5kgs weight swing. Should make it interesting. WHAT A RUSH (8) led but weakened to finish fourth in that Port Macquarie sprint. Draws a lot better today and should be in contention for a long way. COUNT NICHOLAS (13) wasn't beaten far over 6f at the Gold Coast last start. In the money at nine of 14 over today's journey. A wide gate is the main concern. TARTAGLIA (11) can improve third-up on a firmer surface.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. First-up after six months won by 3.5 len at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr June 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating The Wolf carrying 137lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up won by 1.4 len at this track Jaca Cup Bm82 November 5 over 5 ½f defeating Gold Lover with 129lbs at $2.60. The one they have to beat. 1st Pick 1 My Mum's Toyboy Jockey: Justin P Stanley Trainer: Brett Dodson J: Justin P Stanley T: Brett Dodson	195	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months won by 3.5 len at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr June 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating The Wolf carrying 137lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up won by 1.4 len at this track Jaca Cup Bm82 November 5 over 5 ½f defeating Gold Lover with 129lbs at $2.60. The one they have to beat.
5	Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr on June 14 over 5f, slow going 3.5 len behind My Mum's Toyboy carrying 133lbs at $20. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at this track Brushgrovebm82 on April 19 over 5f, 1.75 len behind She's Exotic carrying 133lbs at $12. Steps out over an extraf and must be considered. 2nd Pick 5 The Wolf Jockey: Raymond Spokes Trainer: David Matts J: Raymond Spokes T: David Matts	88	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr on June 14 over 5f, slow going 3.5 len behind My Mum's Toyboy carrying 133lbs at $20. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at this track Brushgrovebm82 on April 19 over 5f, 1.75 len behind She's Exotic carrying 133lbs at $12. Steps out over an extraf and must be considered.
8	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr on June 14 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind My Mum's Toyboy with 121lbs at $4. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at Taree Bm82 on June 5 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, head behind Koios with 119lbs at $9. Draws perfectly and can play a key role over this longer trip. 3rd Pick 8 What A Rush Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Neil Godbolt J: Cejay Graham T: Neil Godbolt	131	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Port Macquarie Wcpe Spr on June 14 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind My Mum's Toyboy with 121lbs at $4. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at Taree Bm82 on June 5 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, head behind Koios with 119lbs at $9. Draws perfectly and can play a key role over this longer trip.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

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A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.