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6:20 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SPIRITS BURN DEEP (10) tough old mare holding her form and looks due for a change of luck. Sat on the speed when run down late for a courageous second over 6f at Coffs Harbour in BM93 class. Among the top three hopes with McColm's claim. CONSTELLATION (7) pushed forward and went on to record a determined win last start over 5 ?f at this track. Maps well and expected to measure up in this stronger grade. WARRIOR BAE (6) consistent gelding deep into the prep and has to overcome the sticky gate today. Gave his all when racing on the pace to secure third over 6f at the Gold Coast. Each way contender. HUMPHREE BEAR (4) slow into stride before savaging the line from last on the turn for a tidy third over 5f at Coffs Harbour. Back in great shape and should have little problem running the 6f.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Spirits Burn Deep silk

Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Coffs Harbour on August 7 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Oakfield Duke carrying 117lbs at $19. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track on July 24 over 6f, neck behind Too Darn Finesse with 134lbs at $2.70. Worth plenty of thought in this easier contest.

1st Pick
10

Spirits Burn Deep

Jockey: Archie Mccolm

Trainer: Neil Osborne

J: Archie Mccolm

T: Neil Osborne

152---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Coffs Harbour on August 7 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Oakfield Duke carrying 117lbs at $19. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track on July 24 over 6f, neck behind Too Darn Finesse with 134lbs at $2.70. Worth plenty of thought in this easier contest.

7
Constellation silk

Third-up today. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on July 12 over 5f, 2 len behind Steffi Electrica with 128lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell won by a nose at this track on July 24 over 5f defeating Buzz Saw carrying 128lbs at $3.20. One of the major players in career best form.

2nd Pick
7

Constellation

Jockey: Nick Heywood

Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee

J: Nick Heywood

T: Stephen & Jordan Lee

108---9%11/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on July 12 over 5f, 2 len behind Steffi Electrica with 128lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell won by a nose at this track on July 24 over 5f defeating Buzz Saw carrying 128lbs at $3.20. One of the major players in career best form.

6
Warrior Bae silk

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast on July 25 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Mishani Moet carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Before that 2nd in a small field at Ipswich on July 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Moshulu Spirit carrying 119lbs at $31. Heading in the right direction and sure to be thereabouts.

3rd Pick
6

Warrior Bae

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Dunn

175---13%7/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast on July 25 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Mishani Moet carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Before that 2nd in a small field at Ipswich on July 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Moshulu Spirit carrying 119lbs at $31. Heading in the right direction and sure to be thereabouts.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.