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5:15 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.6f
Class 1
Turf
HEAVY 10
18.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BRIEF AUTHORITY (4) is the one to beat after winning first-up at this track in a Mdn over 5f, where he was bumped early, pressed forward and still found plenty to beat Scrambling as favourite. His only other run was a sound fourth in Open grade at this venue, and a wet-track win already on the board gives his profile the most substance. HAPPYAZIAM (7) is the main danger after launching from off the pace to win on debut at Toowoomba as an odds-on favourite, with the only question being that she has not yet raced at around 5 ?f. COPENHAGEN CAT (9) was below market expectation when seventh in a Class 2 here last start, but she had genuine settling interference and her prior head second in a BM58 at this venue reads well for this. ROSENBLUM (6) was beaten three lengths at Port Macquarie after being slow out and tightened late, and his previous win at this distance keeps him in the mix despite the wide draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Brief Authority silk

Returned with a determined Mdn win at this track over 5f, overcoming a bump at the start before picking up sharply to beat Scrambling by just over half a length as favourite. His debut fourth in Open grade at this venue was also sound, and he has already shown he handles wet ground. Progressive profile and looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
4

Brief Authority

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Dunn

139---27%11/4

Analysis

Returned with a determined Mdn win at this track over 5f, overcoming a bump at the start before picking up sharply to beat Scrambling by just over half a length as favourite. His debut fourth in Open grade at this venue was also sound, and he has already shown he handles wet ground. Progressive profile and looks the one to beat.

7
Happyaziam silk

Made the right start at Toowoomba, coming from the back half to win a Mdn over 5f by a neck as a short odds-on favourite. She had trialled last month before that debut and still looks open to natural improvement second-up. New to 5f, but the upside is obvious.

2nd Pick
7

Happyaziam

Jockey: Karl Zechner

Trainer: Adam Campton

J: Karl Zechner

T: Adam Campton

110---27%11/4

Analysis

Made the right start at Toowoomba, coming from the back half to win a Mdn over 5f by a neck as a short odds-on favourite. She had trialled last month before that debut and still looks open to natural improvement second-up. New to 5f, but the upside is obvious.

9
Copenhagen Cat silk

Can be given another chance after starting a well-supported favourite in a Class 2 at this track and finishing seventh, with stewards noting she raced keenly and was steadied approaching the 4f. Her prior BM58 second here, beaten a head by Vendemmia, is the run to judge. Her narrow second here two back makes her a key chance.

3rd Pick
9

Copenhagen Cat

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Stephen & Jordan Lee

100---15%6/1

Analysis

Can be given another chance after starting a well-supported favourite in a Class 2 at this track and finishing seventh, with stewards noting she raced keenly and was steadied approaching the 4f. Her prior BM58 second here, beaten a head by Vendemmia, is the run to judge. Her narrow second here two back makes her a key chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.