AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 5

19.2K

VIEW

Verdict

MASHEAN (10) improving mare who was three weeks between runs when he faded late to run fourth over 5f at the Sunshine Coast. Blinkers go on from the rails draw and will take catching. STEFFI ELECTRICA (2) sharp winner here two back, then jumped in grade and strode forward from the wide gate to grip on and finish a tough second over 5f at Coffs Harbour in BM74 grade. Solid top three contender. HAYLEY'S ROCKET (7) jumped in trip and failed to let down in the straight when she folded up to run a dismal last as fav over 6f at this circuit. Back to her right trip and stays in the mix. MONACO FLYER (12) justified the short price with an all-the-way win over 5 ½f at this track in weaker company. Saves his best for the home track and not to be overlooked.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	At the latest run 4th of 8 in a Cl1-Sw at Sunshine Coast on September 6 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Moaksun with 128lbs at $6. The race before that 5th of 11 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 over 4f, 1.0 len behind Coincide with 129lbs at $4.80. Blinkers go on and should be competitive in this field. 1st Pick 10 Mashean Jockey: Georgina Cartwright Trainer: Adam Campton J: Georgina Cartwright T: Adam Campton	169	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 8 in a Cl1-Sw at Sunshine Coast on September 6 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Moaksun with 128lbs at $6. The race before that 5th of 11 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 over 4f, 1.0 len behind Coincide with 129lbs at $4.80. Blinkers go on and should be competitive in this field.
2	Racing well recently. Comes off a 45 day let-up. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 12 in a Bm74 at Coffs Harbour on August 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Beer Baron carrying 117lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Cl1 at this track on July 12 over 5f defeating Monaco Flyer with 120lbs at $2. Drops in grade and will take catching. 2nd Pick 2 Steffi Electrica Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: Toby Edmonds J: Archie Mccolm T: Toby Edmonds	177	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes off a 45 day let-up. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 12 in a Bm74 at Coffs Harbour on August 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Beer Baron carrying 117lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Cl1 at this track on July 12 over 5f defeating Monaco Flyer with 120lbs at $2. Drops in grade and will take catching.
7	Last start didn't do much in the run home, ran last of 8 in a Bm58 at this track on September 7 over 6f, 7 len behind Vendemmia carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Why Wait carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Had excuses last start and capable of a big run. 3rd Pick 7 Hayley's Rocket Jockey: Madeline Owen Trainer: John Shelton J: Madeline Owen T: John Shelton	134	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Last start didn't do much in the run home, ran last of 8 in a Bm58 at this track on September 7 over 6f, 7 len behind Vendemmia carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Why Wait carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Had excuses last start and capable of a big run.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.