AU - Grafton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

VOSTOKOVA (7) win record hardly excites but looking for this trip at his fifth race start. Shouldered the 132lbs for a plugging fifth over 6 ¾f at Ipswich a week-and-a-half ago. Proven at the trip and drops 13lbs in weight for this after the claim. Leading contender. OCCUPATION (2) well bred gelding rewarded for his consistency at start four with a dominant victory over 7 ¾f at Murwillumbah in the small field. Gets a similar set up again and expected to go on with it now. KHARIF (1) finally got the Maiden win out of the way two back, then finished a gritty second over 7 ¾f at the Gold Coast Poly. Tongue tie goes on and confidence is high. MISS MIDAS TOUCH (8) stretches out to this distance for the first time after she savaged the line with a respectable fourth over 7 ?f here. Regular apprentice sticks and gets map favours here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Most recently 5th of 10 in a F&M 0 - 58 at Ipswich on August 27 over 6 ¾f, slow going 3.5 len behind Constant Cafe with 132lbs at $9.50. The start before that ran last of 12 in a Bm58 at Ballina on August 11 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 21 len behind A Touch From Fayt carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Working up to a win. Deep into the prep and capable of better with the big weight drop. 1st Pick 7 Vostokova Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: Marcus Wilson J: Archie Mccolm T: Marcus Wilson	135	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 10 in a F&M 0 - 58 at Ipswich on August 27 over 6 ¾f, slow going 3.5 len behind Constant Cafe with 132lbs at $9.50. The start before that ran last of 12 in a Bm58 at Ballina on August 11 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 21 len behind A Touch From Fayt carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Working up to a win. Deep into the prep and capable of better with the big weight drop.
2	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, settled well back, won by 3 len at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 7 ¾f on a soft track defeating So Sain carrying 130lbs at $1.65. The race before that 3rd of 14 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coffs Harbour on August 7 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Miss Midas Touch carrying 130lbs at $1.95. Sure to measure up in this vein of form. 2nd Pick 2 Occupation Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Dylan Turner T: Matthew Dunn	146	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, settled well back, won by 3 len at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 7 ¾f on a soft track defeating So Sain carrying 130lbs at $1.65. The race before that 3rd of 14 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coffs Harbour on August 7 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Miss Midas Touch carrying 130lbs at $1.95. Sure to measure up in this vein of form.
1	Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 58 at Gold Coast Poly on August 15 over 7 ¾f, 1.0 len behind Hang Out with 129lbs at $4.80. The run before that came from midfield and won by a nose at Port Macquarie on July 31 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating What A Gent carrying 130lbs at $2.45. Tongue-tie goes on and has the upside to play a leading role. 3rd Pick 1 Kharif Jockey: Boris Thornton Trainer: Declan Maher J: Boris Thornton T: Declan Maher	122	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 58 at Gold Coast Poly on August 15 over 7 ¾f, 1.0 len behind Hang Out with 129lbs at $4.80. The run before that came from midfield and won by a nose at Port Macquarie on July 31 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating What A Gent carrying 130lbs at $2.45. Tongue-tie goes on and has the upside to play a leading role.

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Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

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A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.